National Post

Manulife not banking on rate hikes

- Barbara Shecter

• Recent interest rate hikes in North America are perceived as positive for the life insurance sector, but they aren’t prompting a change in strategy at Manulife Financial Inc., according to Roy Gori, the new chief executive at Canada’s largest insurer.

“We obviously benefit from a more positive outlook as it relates to interest rates, but we’re not banking on that,” Gori, who took over as CEO from Don Guloien in October, told the Financial Post in an interview Thursday.

“There’s still a lot of uncertaint­y in terms of global growth and inflation and, as a result, interest rates are still significan­tly low, certainly lower than they have been historical­ly. And we’re working on the assumption that that will continue.”

In September, the U. S. Federal Reserve signalled plans to raise short-term interest rates one more time this year.

The Bank of Canada left rates unchanged last month after two increases to the overnight rate this year, in July and September.

Manulife turned in betterthan-expected results for the third quarter, which was reported late Wednesday.

Despite a brutal hurricane season, the insurer reported core earnings of 53 cents per share, ahead of analyst estimates of 50 cents, according to John Aiken, an analyst at Barclays Capital.

In a note to clients, he said Manulife was also able to address concerns that growth in the key market of Asia had paused.

“Asia had a solid quarter, with core earnings up 11 per cent from a year ago,” Aiken wrote.

“This was coupled with strong sequential growth in insurance and wealth management products in addition to a healthy increase in the value of new business.”

Gori’s rapid ascent with Manulife began in Asia in 2015.

He was hired to run the operations in China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Macau, Malaysia, the Philippine­s, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam and Cambodia.

Before joining the Canadian firm, he worked in consumer and retail banking at Citigroup.

During the interview with the Financial Post on Thursday, Gori noted that Manulife added to a growing list of bank partnershi­ps in the third quarter with a new arrangemen­t in Asia. A three- year partnershi­p with Mekong Housing Bank in Vietnam will allow Manulife Vietnam to sell life insurance to Mekong Housing Bank’s clients in Ho Chi Minh City and Hanoi.

Gabriel Dechaine, an analyst who tracks Manulife at National Bank Financial, said he believes investors are looking for growth, particular­ly in Asia.

“On that front, the company didn’t disappoint,” Dechaine wrote in a report after the third- quarter financial results were released.

The analyst noted a 15-per-cent increase in yearover-year insurance product sales in Asia, and a nearly 40- per- cent increase in net flows to wealth management.

In Canada, core earnings were up, both sequential­ly and from a year ago, though sales of most products and the value of new business was flat to down, Dechaine said.

Core earnings in the U.S. segment were down from a strong second quarter, but up strongly from a year ago, he added.

Manulife officials said the insurance giant has not altered its stance on John Hancock, the firm’s wealth management division in the United States, which was the subject of speculatio­n about a possible sale or spinoff last summer.

Following media reports that these options were being explored, executives said in August that they continue to investigat­e all opportunit­ies to improve shareholde­r value.

“We believe this is good governance, plain and simple,” Guloien said on an August 10 conference call with analysts to discuss secondquar­ter financial results, “and there is no news here.”

However, he did acknowledg­e that Manulife continues to deal with “some challengin­g blocks of legacy business.”

Boston- based John Hancock Financial Services Inc. was bought with great fanfare in 2003 by Guloien’s predecesso­r, Dominic D’Alessandro, but Manulife has increasing­ly turned its focus to growth in Asia.

ASIA HAD A SOLID QUARTER, WITH CORE EARNINGS UP 11 PER CENT FROM A YEAR AGO.

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