WHY AI IS DUMB ... FOR NOW
HUMAN FLAWS ARE LEADING TO LIMITATIONS
If we can all agree on one thing in these polarized times, it’s that we’re on the cusp of an artificial intelligence revolution. The technology is already reshaping our daily interactions and changing the way many of us do business.
It’s also remarkably dumb — at least for now.
Hear me out on this, AI aficionados, because my recent experiences using deep learning for marketing purposes have both reinforced the technology’s incredible potential, but also its very human limitations.
The first constraint sounds bad, because it is: catastrophic forgetting.
No, that’s not what you do when you get very old or become overwhelmed when balancing business and personal responsibilities — the daily reality for entrepreneurs with busy family lives. It turns out that AI is quite forgetful.
Once you train an AI system to do something, then train it to do something else, it has the potential to forget the first task it was taught. That requires you to step back and have the system re-learn the original task all over again.
This is a particularly maddening process for marketers who assumed AI would take the heavy lifting out of such tedious everyday tasks as detailed market research, freeing their time to focus on high-margin, creative duties.
I see this play out every day when my firm taps Google Ads’ search algorithm to market our clients’ businesses. We’ve noticed that if you change an ad, even if it’s very similar to a previous one, the system can’t cope and must typically start learning all over again. Let’s say your ad says the following:
Hey Mike how are you doing today?
While the previous one read: “Hey Mike, how are you doing today?”
The changes to these two sentences are so subtle they’re barely noticeable. But they’re enough to fool software that at this point lacks the problem-solving skills to recognize that your ad, posted on different days, is trying to say the same thing but without the same punctuation. From the perspective of the machine’s algorithm, however, they’re completely different phrases and therefore need to be input as completely new advertisements.
This is only one instance of AI ineptitude, of course, but it’s an important one — because most small and medium-size businesses use Google tools to market their products or services at some point or another.
AI’s limitations can pose a significant challenge for SMEs with limited marketing resources or that have a small internal staff that lacks the expertise to manage a dynamic search engine marketing platform.
Another important AI observation: the potential output is only as good as the information input. For anyone who has ever done even rudimentary computer programming, this makes perfect sense.
Trouble is, the data we’re putting into these systems are making them dumber — and that’s not the machine’s fault. How, you ask?
Let’s say you have a warehouse, and there are a dozen people picking and packing goods for shipment each day. You input all the information about their daily activities into the system and tell the system to optimize their processes. And it does, but only to a certain point.
That’s because it’s a machine and isn’t quite as smart as it first seems. It will take the data that’s input into it, but will also account for the laziness, mistakes and flaws of the humans it’s analyzing, before modelling out that behaviour in an optimized process map.
The result is average performance on an exponential scale because the machine’s output reflects the team’s mediocrity.
In effect, inadequate data inputs are putting a man-made ceiling on AI’s potential benefits.
To solve the problem, carefully analyze the inputs into your AIpowered systems and determine how they should be optimized. In effect, your software must be taught to recognize good versus bad (that is, inefficient and unproductive) behaviour.
The good input data should be a reflection of the exceptional performance of your company’s top performers. Their performance should be the baseline data used to teach the system.
And that’s why AI is dumb, at least for now. It’s limited by human flaws and can only be pushed as far as we can manage to filter out our own bad habits, develop best practices and procedures and take the time to input them into deep learning systems to produce the business outcomes we want. While new innovations such as Google Duplex — an AI assistant that can make phone calls on behalf of a user, say, to book a restaurant reservation, and does so with a natural-sounding human voice — are showing incredible promise, there’s still a long way to go.
And that’s the important point: these systems are improving. They can’t quite be relied upon to transform most businesses right now, but that could all change in just a few short years.
THE POTENTIAL OUTPUT IS ONLY AS GOOD AS THE INFORMATION INPUT.