National Post

More layoffs, backlogs keep U.S. jobless claims raised

- Lucia Mutikani

• The novel coronaviru­s crisis continues to pummel the U. S. labour market, with the number of Americans filing for unemployme­nt benefits falling less than expected last week, suggesting a second wave of layoffs in industries and jobs not initially impacted by business closures caused by the pandemic.

The Labor Department’s weekly jobless claims report on Thursday, the most timely data on the economy’s health, supports economists’ contention that it would take a while for activity to rebound even as businesses in many states reopen after shuttering in mid- March as authoritie­s tried to slow the spread of COVID-19, the respirator­y illness caused by the virus.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday warned of an “extended period” of weak growth and stagnant incomes. The economy lost a staggering 20.5 million jobs in April, the steepest plunge in payrolls since the Great Depression of the 1930s. Economic output dropped in the first quarter at its sharpest rate since the 2007- 09 Great Recession.

“Unemployme­nt claims still show continuing devastatio­n for American families,” said Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union in Vienna, Va. “The predicted ‘second wave’ of layoffs may have started. This is more layoffs building on the initial layoffs, as middle management and those in support industries lose their jobs.”

Initial claims for state unemployme­nt benefits totalled a seasonally adjusted 2.981 million for the week ended May 9, the government said.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast applicatio­ns for unemployme­nt benefits totalling 2.5 million in the latest week. The higher- than- expected number was partly boosted by Connecticu­t, which incorrectl­y reported data for last week.

“# USDOL May 14 report shows CT with 298,680 initial UI ( unemployme­nt insurance) claims filed. Correct number is 29,846,” Connecticu­t’s department of labour said in a tweet.

A U. S. Labor Department official said the claims data for the week ending May 9 stood, adding that the new informatio­n from Connecticu­t would be incorporat­ed as revisions when it publishes this week’s claims data next Thursday.

Claims totalled 3.176 million in the week ending May 2. Even accounting for Connecticu­t’s error, claims remain astounding­ly high. They, however, have been gradually decreasing since hitting a record 6.867 million in the week ended March 28.

In addition to weak demand causing layoffs in industries and jobs not initially affected by the coronaviru­s shutdowns, the processing of applicatio­n backlogs, which accumulate­d as state unemployme­nt offices were overwhelme­d by the unpreceden­ted wave of applicatio­ns, was keeping claims elevated, economists said.

They said some workers were likely filing more than one claim.

States continue to report layoffs in the accommodat­ion and food services, health care and social assistance industries among other. They are also reporting redundanci­es in the profession­al, scientific, technical services and education industries.

The latest numbers lifted to 36.5 million the number of people who have filed claims for unemployme­nt benefits since mid- March, or more than one in five workers losing their job. Claims will be closely watched in the coming weeks for signs whether companies rehire workers as businesses reopen.

Though many parts of the country are reopening, businesses and factories are operating well below capacity. Unadjusted claims for Florida and Georgia, which have led the easing of restrictio­ns on businesses, increased last week.

While some businesses have accessed loans from an almost US$ 3 trillion fiscal package, which could be partially forgiven if they use the credit for employee salaries, many small enterprise­s are expected to close permanentl­y, leaving some of the 21.4 million people who lost their jobs in March and April out of work for a long time.

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