National Post

HSBC paints grim outlook in ‘unpredicta­ble’ timeline

- Harry Wilson Alfred Liu and

HSBC Holdings PLC joined the chorus of banks warning about a difficult economic outlook to cap a costly earnings season.

The Asia- focused lender missed estimates after reporting first- half profit that halved to US$ 5.6 billion because of higher credit provisions. It is speeding up the shakeup of its global operations after warning that the fallout from the coronaviru­s pandemic may trigger loan losses of as much as $ 13 billion this year.

“This is still a hugely unpredicta­ble environmen­t,” said chief executive Noel Quinn on a conference call. The bank is looking at further measures to boost performanc­e, including investing more in Asia and cutting back in the U.S.

The shares were down 3.5 per cent in London afternoon trading, slumping to their lowest level in more than a decade and taking their decline to 44 per cent for the year so far. Shares in British rivals like Barclays PLC and Lloyds Banking Group PLC fell last week after they reported earnings also dominated by big provisions.

“We do need to take costs down, as a result of the revenue pressures” from the coronaviru­s, said chief financial officer Ewen Stevenson after HSBC lifted its estimated bad debt charge to the range of US$ 8 billion to US$13 billion for the year.

HSBC has been seeking to pivot away from Europe and the U. S. to expand its business in the fast-growing Chinese market. The lender, which has been singled out by Washington for its backing of Beijing, said it will continue to shift its capital towards Asia, which provided nearly all of its earnings. Quinn said the tensions between “China and the U. S. inevitably create challengin­g situations for an organizati­on with HSBC’S footprint.”

Quinn said HSBC had to accelerate its turnaround plans in light of the pandemic and warned the lender would need to be more radical. The company cut more than a third of its 224 U. S. branch network as it pushes ahead with restructur­ing plans.

“Our operating environmen­t has changed significan­tly since the start of the year,” said Quinn. “We will also therefore look at what additional actions we need to take,” he said. CFO Stevenson also said more than 4,000 staff had left in the first-half of the year, the first of 35,000 jobs expected to be cut over the next three years.

Last month, Quinn told more than 200 of the lender’s most senior managers that they needed to boost returns, people familiar with the matter have said. In a bid to hasten change, Quinn is pushing for more authority to be delegated to regional managers, the people said, requesting anonymity to discuss private talks.

The bank said the U. K.’s gloomy economic outlook was responsibl­e for about 40 per cent of the US$ 3.8 billion provision taken in the second quarter.

Jefferies said in a note to clients that the “impairment charge has disappoint­ed and management unhelpfull­y have widened the range” of the estimated hit for the full year.

HSBC’S investment bank recorded a 79 per cent gain in its foreign-exchange, rates and credit income division in the second- quarter compared to a year earlier. FICC revenue hit US$ 2.1 billion, the latest results from a global lender that underline the diverging fortunes of trading businesses and domestic economies.

The results mark 12 months since HSBC surprised the banking world with the ouster of then CEO John Flint. Flint had fallen out of favour with Chairman Mark Tucker, who then appointed Quinn to replace him as acting CEO, before he was given the job on a permanent basis in March.

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