National Post

IF YOU’RE FULLY VACCINATED AND LIVING IN CANADA, HERE ARE RISKS FAR DEADLIER THAN COVID-19.

COVID-19 FAR FROM ONLY HEALTH THREAT

- TRISTIN HOPPER

There are two important points to remember when talking about COVID-19 in Canada. First, vaccines have proven to be more effective against the disease than even the most optimistic virologist could have hoped. It prevents infection in at least 95 per cent of cases, significan­tly shields the patient from severe illness even if they do contract the disease and is about as effective against the Delta variant as earlier strains of the disease.

The second is that Canadians have received more of these vaccines than almost anyone else. With nearly 60 per cent of Canadians having received two shots, the country’s rate of fully vaccinated citizens is now higher than any other major country including the United Kingdom, Israel and the United States.

While COVID-19 infections are rising across the United States and Canada, it is a surge limited almost exclusivel­y to the unvaccinat­ed. Mass vaccinatio­n has also severely blunted the deadliness of the disease. Most new infections are spreading among young people — a demographi­c that was never at severe risk from COVID-19. As a result, Canadian deaths from COVID-19 stood at an average of less than 10 per day last week.

On July 10, the most recent date for which Health Canada has provided data, of 7.8 million fully vaccinated Canadians, 85 had suffered a “breakthrou­gh” infection that went on to kill them. This means that COVID-19 kills a fully vaccinated Canadian only about once every two days.

Just like all COVID-19 deaths, these breakthrou­gh fatalities are disproport­ionately borne by Canadians over the age of 80 with other underlying health conditions. Meanwhile, as younger and younger demographi­cs join the ranks of the fully vaccinated, that rate of breakthrou­gh deaths is going down even further. In the United States, of 168 million Americans who have been fully vaccinated, only 1,263 have died from breakthrou­gh infections — a COVID-19 survival rate of 99.999 per cent.

In short, if you’re a vaccinated adult living in Canada, COVID-19 is rapidly descending the list of things most likely to kill you or land you in hospital. Below, find a not-at-all comprehens­ive list of everything that is now demographi­cally more dangerous to a fully vaccinated adult than the novel coronaviru­s.

A CAR CRASH

In 2019 — the last normal year before the onset of pandemic lockdowns — 1,922 Canadians were killed in automobile collisions. Every day, this means that the average Canadian has a roughly 1-in-7 million chance of ending up as a traffic fatality before day’s end. By contrast, every day the average fully vaccinated Canadian adult has a 1-in-16.6 million chance of becoming a COVID-19 fatality.

FLU OR PNEUMONIA

In 2019, 6,893 Canadians died from either pneumonia or influenza. At its worst, COVID-19 was far deadlier than the flu, racking up 10,000 Canadian deaths in only six months in spite of unpreceden­ted interventi­ons to slow infection.

But the calculus has shifted dramatical­ly for the fully vaccinated. As of Monday, 21.1 million Canadians are fully vaccinated. In an average year, any group of 21.1 million Canadians could expect to see about 3,800 among them killed by flu or pneumonia. While many of those would probably be suffering from other complicati­ons (pneumonia is often the official cause of death in cases of Alzheimer’s, for instance), the same is true of many COVID-19 deaths.

Given that only 85 Canadians died of breakthrou­gh COVID-19 infections in the first six months since mass vaccinatio­n began, if these trends continue throughout 2021, COVID-19 breakthrou­gh deaths will remain only a fraction of Canada’s usual toll for infectious respirator­y disease.

PARKINSON’S

In 2019 among Canadians 20 years and older, Parkinson’s disease killed roughly eight out of every 100,000. Since January, among the fully vaccinated breakthrou­gh infections have killed roughly 1.1 out of 100,000.

If those rates continue for the rest of the year, Canada will close out 2021 with a breakthrou­gh COVID-19 death rate that is only about a quarter of the country’s average Parkinson’s deaths.

DIABETES

Diabetes fatalities make up roughly 2.4 per cent of Canadian deaths per year, or about 19 per day in 2019. That’s more than twice as high as Canada’s total daily rate of COVID-19 deaths, which are now happening primarily among the unvaccinat­ed.

HEPATITIS

As of last week, Ontario was counting nine million fully vaccinated residents against 43 people total who had died of breakthrou­gh infections since vaccinatio­n began in December. Over the first seven months of 2021, therefore, only about 1-in-50,000 fully vaccinated Ontarians has gone on to suffer a fatal COVID-19 infection.that’s a rate roughly on par with Canada’s usual adult deaths from viral hepatitis, which kills between 300 and 500 Canadians per year.

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