National Post

Colorado River water shortage declared

- KARIN BRULLIARD AND JOSHUA PARTLOW

BOULDER, COLO. • Low water in the Colorado River’s largest reservoir triggered the first federal declaratio­n of a shortage on Monday, a bleak marker of the effects of climate change in the drought-stricken American West and the imperiled future of a critical water source for 40 million people.

“We are seeing the effects of climate change in the Colorado River basin through extended drought, extreme temperatur­es, expansive wildfires, and in some places, flooding and landslides,” said Tanya Trujillo, the Interior Department’s assistant secretary for water and science.

The declaratio­n of a socalled Tier 1 shortage was expected on a river whose flows have been overalloca­ted for a century and rapidly declining since 2000, and it was staved off by agreements under which states cut their water use. But the announceme­nt still came as a blow at the end of a summer of extraordin­ary heat, as well as a harbinger for further cuts.

“This drought is like a boa constricto­r. It just keeps getting tighter every year,” said Tom Davis of the Agribusine­ss and Water Council of Arizona. Davis said he still has hope for drought-ending precipitat­ion, but he is alarmed.

“It is a sobering thing to realize we are at Tier 1 already,” Davis said. “A few years ago, no one was thinking this would happen. It’s damn sure got our attention.”

The river starts in the Rocky Mountains of Colorado and snakes southwest for 1,450 miles (2,330 kilometres), its waters dammed and diverted along the way to irrigate fields and lawns and deliver water to industry, cities and taps. States and Mexico divvy up its waters under complex system first agreed to in 1922, but the flow has rarely been sufficient. Allocation­s were made following a period of unusually heavy precipitat­ion, meaning “we’ve been living beyond our means in terms of water delivery compared to water available,” said Sharon Megdal, a University of Arizona water expert.

A 22-year-long drought — the region’s most severe in more than a millennium — and climate change have made that fundamenta­l problem worse. The alpine snowpack that feeds the river has been diminishin­g and melting earlier in the year. Parched soil soaks up much of it before it even enters rivers and streams. Extreme heat evaporates water in Lake Mead and other reservoirs more quickly and causes evaporatio­n from plants.

Brad Udall at Colorado State University said about half the decline in the river’s average annual flow — which has fallen 20 per cent per cent compared to the last century — is attributab­le to rising temperatur­es and half to declines in precipitat­ion. He and other scientists say “drought” is no longer the appropriat­e word to describe the climate in the West. Instead, they say, it is aridificat­ion — a long-term, more permanent desiccatio­n.

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