National Post

Oil moves higher on weaker dollar

Benchmarks halt seven straight days of losses

- DMITRY ZHDANNIKOV

LONDON • Oil prices jumped on Monday, recovering from a seven-day losing streak, with gains driven by a weaker dollar despite demand concerns stoked by rising cases of the Delta coronaviru­s variant.

Brent crude climbed US$3.57, or 5.5 per cent, to settle at US$68.75 a barrel after touching its lowest since May 21 at US$64.60 during the session. U.S. West Texas Intermedia­te (WTI) crude for October delivery rose US$3.50, or 5.6 per cent, to settle at US$65.64.

Both benchmarks marked their biggest week of losses in more than nine months last week, with Brent sliding about 8 per cent and WTI about 9 per cent.

Many nations are responding to the rising coronaviru­s infection rate by introducin­g new travel restrictio­ns.

“We expect to see more adjustment­s this week, but the market sentiment will likely remain bearish, with growing concerns over slower fuel demand worldwide,” said Kazuhiko Saito, chief analyst at Fujitomi Securities.

China, the world’s largest oil importer, has imposed new restrictio­ns, which is affecting shipping and global supply chains. The United States and China have also imposed restrictio­ns on flight capacity.

While the pandemic drags on fuel demand, supply is steadily increasing. U.S. production rose and drilling companies added rigs for the third week in a row, services company Baker Hughes said.

But a slide in the U.S. dollar provided some support, making crude less expensive for holders of other currencies.

“A softer dollar prompted investors to rewind their positions,” said Chiyoki Chen, chief analyst at Sunward Trading.

The dollar index slid. Last week it hit a nine-month high on bets that the Fed would start shifting away from its accommodat­ive monetary policy, but that view began to change on Friday when Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan said he might reconsider his hawkish stance if the virus harms the economy.

Now, investors are less confident Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole this week will indicate a timeline for winding down the Fed’s bond-buying program.

The dollar index, which measures the currency’s performanc­e against a basket of six major currencies, fell 0.516 per cent to 92.999.

“There was a fear that they were going to announce tapering in Jackson Hole and start in September. But it now looks that will be in 2022,” said Thomas Hayes, managing member at Great Hill Capital.

The MSCI world equity index, which tracks shares in 50 countries, rose 1.09 per cent. Last week it had its biggest weekly fall since June. Europe’s STOXX 600 closed higher at 0.66 per cent.

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