National Post (National Edition)

LIBERALS HAVE NO CHOICE BUT TO PRESS FOR GREATER TRADE.

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Exhibit B is Bernie Sanders, whose working-class insurgency failed to win him the Democratic nomination but hobbled Hillary Clinton in her presidenti­al fight. Exhibit C is, of course, Trump, whose aversion to the liberal orthodoxy seems visceral and genuine. The president-elect reiterated this week that he will scrap the Trans-Pacific Partnershi­p trade deal on his first day in the Oval Office.

The U.S.-led TPP, the initial membership of which world’s population, making it the largest free-trade zone every conceived.

It represente­d not only the deepening of an internatio­nal trading system the U.S. has led and championed since 1945, but also was expressly intended by its framers to shore up a Pacific security relationsh­ip that has come under increasing pressure from Chinese territoria­l expansioni­sm.

The U.S. security umbrella has itself come under attack from Trump, to the consternat­ion of the Japanese and Taiwanese, among others. TPP was therefore the ideal symbolic target for Trump’s insular, xenophobic and regressive brand of U.S. nationalis­m.

To return to Trudeau: His early political speeches show he understood years ago the risk to liberalism (loosely defined as ethnic, cultural and racial pluralism and open trade) posed by the long-term decline of the U.S. working class, as manufactur­ing work moves offshore or is replaced by machines, and a dwindling number of profession­al jobs become the exclusive domain of the wealthy. Trudeau has also said for years that shoring up middle-class living standards is his principle political goal.

That’s why the emerging Canadian strategy, as TPP falls aside, will be for multiple renewed bilateral free-trade forays, beginning with Japan, India and Latin American countries. It’s also why the Trudeau government is doggedly laying the groundwork to approve the expansion of the Kinder Morgan Trans Mountain pipeline from Alberta to the Pacific, despite full-throated opposition from anti-oil activists. The Liberals have no choice but to press for greater trade, especially in resources. The alternativ­e is a permanentl­y lower national living standard, and increased risk of Trump’s U.S. Rust Belt revolt spreading north.

How does channellin­g Harper come into it?

There are two big gaps in Trudeau’s post-Trump posture, that I see. First is the continuing lack of a coherent economic plan for Ontario ex-Toronto, especially in the southweste­rn belt that has been hammered by factory closings and job cuts — from Hamilton to London, Chatham and Sarnia. This is already a potential hot zone for anti-global populism. A finance minister with a Main Street sensibilit­y would insert into the next federal budget a jobs plan for southweste­rn Ontario with specifics — something well beyond the usual blather about green and social infrastruc­ture.

Last, but not least, is tone. Harper, for all his dourness and dullness, had an instinct for what working Canadians want to hear, and not hear, from their leaders, especially in difficult times. Hence his budgetary about-face at the height of the Great Recession in 2009, which won him the 2011 majority.

The Trudeau government’s messaging has tended to highlight the soft side of its agenda — gender equality, trans rights and the like. These are laudable policies. But beyond downtown Ottawa, Toronto, Vancouver and Montreal are millions of working Canadians for whom any topic beyond job, bills and paycheque now begins to sound like a frill. What is there for them in the Liberal message?

It’s a question U.S. Democrats are asking themselves, too late.

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