National Post (National Edition)

We know a tax when we see it

- JOHN WILLIAMSON

From a public relations perspectiv­e, it would seem, the debate is over. Putting a price on carbon dioxide is supposed to be a no-brainer. That’s because one public opinion poll after another says Canadians supposedly want action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

And just about everyone in media, academia and government now says pricing carbon dioxide is the best way to lower Canada’s emissions. Experts have moved on to squabbling over whether to price emissions directly with a tax or indirectly with cap and trade.

But perhaps we should ask, if the public accepts carbon dioxide pricing, why are government­s that pursue it under fire? What’s going on in towns and cities across the country?

Earlier this month, The Globe and Mail reported on a Nanos Research poll it commission­ed on voter attitudes toward Ottawa’s climate regulation­s. Nanos found almost two-thirds of Canadians want the Trudeau government to proceed with its climate regulation­s, including carbon dioxide pricing. An even larger majority, 77 per cent, said it would be wrong for Ottawa to align its environmen­tal policies with the Trump administra­tion should their approaches clash.

Those findings match those of other polls. Nanos reported in September that six in 10 people supported putting a price on carbon dioxide to reduce the use of fossil fuels. Similarly, in December, 58 per cent said Canada should tax carbon dioxide even if the Trump administra­tion doesn’t.

There is counter-evidence, though, that Canadians might not be enamoured with carbon pricing. A February Nanos poll for the Canadian Taxpayers Federation (CTF) zeroed in on the real price to consumers of Ontario’s emissionsp­ricing policy. Ontario There is counter-evidence that Canadians might not be as enamoured with carbon pricing as previously thought, John Williamson writes residents were asked about their willingnes­s to pay the estimated household cost of Ontario’s cap-and-trade program, which is projected to be about $13 a month in 2017, to fuel a car and heat a home.

Nanos found 51 per cent of respondent­s opposed and another 10 per cent somewhat opposed to paying just $13 more for energy each questions: concern with a problem and a willingnes­s to pay. The Nanos-CTF research (available at taxpayer.com) concludes that a majority of Ontarians don’t support cap and trade. What’s more, Ontario voters are less likely to support an opposition politician proposing a carbon dioxide tax. Ontario families appear instead to favour affordable

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