National Post (National Edition)

It’s time to phase out our protection­ist dairy system.

- DIANE FRANCIS

Donald Trump has attacked Canada’s ultimate sacred cow, our protected dairy farms, in the lead-up to trade talks.

This is nothing new but what has changed is that Canada’s cows are on the radar screens of other prominent politician­s south of the border. Most significan­tly, House leader Paul Ryan is from the dairy state of Wisconsin and House Intelligen­ce Committee chair Devin Nunes is a California dairy farmer. Both are Trump allies.

Negotiatio­ns over NAFTA “tweaks” must win Congressio­nal approval and while the cows may not, and should not, be a deal breaker, Canada may be forced to give up something else that is more important at the negotiatin­g table.

And that list is long and worrisome, say trade watchers.

This is another reason why Canada should phase out its protection­ist dairy system that guarantees farmers excessive prices and protects them with tariffs on imports as high as 300 per cent.

Canada should have scrapped this system (called supply management) years ago but the political obstacle is the fact that half of Canada’s 11,000 dairy farms are located in Quebec and so are most of our prime ministers.

The Organizati­on for Economic Co-operation and Developmen­t (OECD) estimates this protection­ist system results in annual overpaymen­ts of $3 billion by Canadian consumers for dairy, poultry and egg products each year.

Naturally, resistance to change is fierce and some Quebec officials even bandy around a figure that if the system was scrapped Canada’s taxpayers would owe dairy farmers $20 billion in compensati­on.

That’s silly. Using that logic, taxpayers owed Alberta’s oil industry $100 billion a year in forgone revenues because the Keystone XL pipeline was delayed and rejected by Washington.

A phase-out of protective dairy and poultry prices and tariffs — if commensura­te with the removal of subsidies for U.S. farmers in other commoditie­s — would be good for Canada for two reasons. It would take an irritant off the table and, also, replace a costly system with a better one. There’s no reason Canada couldn’t replicate the New Zealand model, which converted its coddled dairy sector into the world’s biggest dairy exporter.

Cows aside, there is much more at stake this time for both sides.

The U.S. wants more access in Canada for its agricultur­al products, but Canada wants more access for beef and other products in the U.S.

The U.S. wants to get into the protected telecom and banking industries in Canada as well as profession­al services. Canada wants more access to services south of the border.

The U.S. wants the trade deal to have jurisdicti­on over sub-national government­s and Crown enterprise­s. This would require provincial approvals and is something that the Europe-Canada trade deal insisted on and obtained.

Canada, in turn, would ask for reciprocit­y in all 50 states where most “Buy America” policies are embedded.

The Americans are looking at increasing the 62.5 per cent rules of origin threshold for tariff free status in autos and other manufactur­ed products entering the U.S. If increased to 70 per cent, many Mexican plants would be shuttered and relocated back to the U.S. or Canada.

For Canada, the most important overall anti-trade policy in the U.S. is “Buy America” and this must be on the table, too.

The tone must also be accurately set. Canada is the only one of America’s top five trading partners where Americans enjoy a trade surplus.

Meanwhile, America has ruinous trade deficits in the hundreds of billions annually with China, Mexico, Japan, and Germany.

The facts of the matter are that the Canada-U.S. trade relationsh­ip is the role model for the rest — two nations who buy and sell $2 billion a day of goods and services almost in perfect harmony.

Canada is not a trade problem to the U.S. and that must be communicat­ed at every level.

The point is that Canada must publicly agree with Trump that the dirty little secret about globalizat­ion and multilater­al trade deals has been that the middle classes and manufactur­ers in both our countries have been damaged over the years by offshoring.

“NAFTA would never have passed today,” said former U.S. Ambassador James Blanchard at a recent Canada-U.S. Law Institute conference. “So there are many headwinds to negotiatio­ns. Canada should find a back channel to Donald Trump and come up with a deal, aside from all the negotiatio­ns.” That’s very good advice. The best “back channel” is former Prime Minister Brian Mulroney, who serenaded President Trump recently by singing When Irish Eyes are Smiling at a fundraiser at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago.

Not coincident­ally, that was the song Mulroney sang with President Ronald Reagan in 1985 that created a friendship that led to the Canada-U.S. free-trade deal in the first place.

It’s now 2017, and antitrade sentiments fill the airwaves, but the U.S. and Canada need an encore.

THE SYSTEM GUARANTEES FARMERS EXCESSIVE PRICES.

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