National Post (National Edition)

TD posts top earnings beat of Canada’s Big 6

Shares rise to highest in more than 18 months

- MATT SCUFFHAM Reuters

• Toronto-Dominion Bank on Thursday posted earnings which beat forecasts by a bigger margin than its rivals in a quarter which has seen Canada’s top six lenders outperform market expectatio­ns.

Shares in TD, the country’s second-biggest bank, rose 3.3 per cent to $67.06 and were on track to post their biggest percentage daily gain in more than 11/2 years.

The bank reported earnings per share, excluding one-off items, rose to $1.51 from $1.27 a year ago in the third quarter ending on June 30. Analysts had on average expected an EPS of $1.36.

“TD showed the strongest beat of the ‘Big 6’ this earnings season, coming in well ahead of expectatio­ns,” said Barclays analyst John Aiken.

In an interview with Reuters, TD chief financial officer Riaz Ahmed said that the rebounding economy had helped the bounce in bank earnings.

“The economic environmen­t in Canada has improved more quickly than expected,” he said.

The country’s gross domestic product grew at the strongest pace in nearly six years in the three-month period ending in June, data from Statistics Canada showed.

The quarterly expansion was the fastest among the G7 grouping of developed economies.

TD said net income rose to $2.8 billion from $2.4 billion a year earlier. Canadian retail net income rose by 14 per cent to $1.7 billion, while U.S. retail net income also grew by the same per centage to $901 million.

Eight Capital analyst Steve Theriault said: “All divisions contribute­d to the beat, with the most significan­t beat to consensus from Canadian P&C Banking, where revenue, credit and expense trends were all positive in the quarter.”

The country’s other top banks — Royal Bank of Canada, Bank of Nova Scotia, Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce and National Bank of Canada — also reported increased profits from Canada.

Canadian banking stocks have stagnated this year because of worries lenders are vulnerable to the potential of a sharp decline in home prices in once-roaring housing markets, analysts say.

The Toronto Stock Market’s banking index is down 0.6 per cent for 2017.

Looking ahead, Ahmed cautioned TD faced headwinds. These included concerns about house prices in Toronto and Vancouver, where residentia­l real estate markets had been red hot until recently.

Canadian authoritie­s have introduced policies, including taxes on foreign buyers, intended to cool the housing market and bring about a “soft landing,” where prices stabilize gradually.

“All the indicators seem to be that we’re in the middle of a soft landing rather than a hard lending and obviously that would be a very good outcome,” Ahmed added.

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