Remember the Chiefs, forget the Titans

NFL Picks heads into the postseason with an incredible record straight up, 70 games over .500. A coach would have a lifetime contract for such an impressive showing.

The key to picking NFL games, of course, is winning against the point spread. In that area, well, we need a rally, three games under the break-even mark thanks to a particularly damaging Week 16. A strong playoffs served us well last year. So let’s do it again.

Tennessee (plus 7.5) at Kansas City, Saturday

While the Chiefs have not exactly recaptured their form of early in the schedule, when they were the NFL’s best, they are on the rise. The dynamic offence has been rekindled, particularly sensational rookie running back Kareem Hunt.

This is the 17th game and the trend for the Titans hasn’t been good lately. They lost three in a row down the stretch and needed to squeeze past AFC South winner Jacksonville to make the field.

The Titans won’t last long in it. Best Bet: Chiefs, 23-10

Carolina (plus 6.5) at New Orleans, Sunday

This is the best looker of the four playoff openers, a confrontation between two of the league’s strongest teams out of the NFL’s top division. The Saints or the Panthers are as capable as any NFC squad to get to the Super Bowl.

New Orleans knocked off Carolina twice in the regular season and is the more balanced side. It’s also the more explosive team.

But if any of the road teams is going to spring an upset, it’s Ron Rivera and the Panthers, who have a much more recent record of postseason success than do Drew Brees and the Saints. Upset Special: Panthers, 27-26 Atlanta (plus 6.5) at Los Angeles Rams, Saturday

So here come the more-experienced Falcons, ready to surge back to the Super Bowl and, this time, finish it off after building a big lead? We don’t buy it. These aren’t even close to being the same Falcons. Rams, 27-19

Buffalo (plus 7.5) at Jacksonville, Sunday

The feel-good story throughout Western New York — there are college football players who might not have been born when the Bills last made it this far — ends rapidly. Barring a stunning recovery from his ankle injury by LeSean McCoy, the Bills will be one and done. Jaguars, 19-13

2017 RECORD:

Last week: Against spread (9-7). Straight up (9-7) Season Totals: Against spread (117120-10). Straight up: (162-92) Best Bet: 9-8 against spread, 10-7 straight up. Upset special: 9-8 against spread, 9-8 straight up