National Post (National Edition)

Trump unleashes $34B tariff barrage on China.

- Andrew Mayeda

WASHINGTON• President Donald Trump began to slap tariffs on Chinese goods early Friday, the first shot in a trade war between the world’s two biggest economies.

Tariffs on US$34 billion of Chinese goods were to take effect at 12:01 a.m. in Washington, the U.S. Trade Representa­tive confirmed Thursday. The milestone marks a new and damaging phase in a conflict that has roiled markets and cast a shadow over the global growth outlook.

China’s policy makers are digging in for what could be a protracted fight — one in which they say they won’t be the aggressor. Beijing has said retaliator­y tariffs on products ranging from soybeans to pork would go into effect immediatel­y after the U.S. acts.

With further tit-for-tat levies already threatened, some investors are concerned this week may mark the start of a trade war that spreads globally. Trump has already imposed tariffs on imported steel, aluminum, solar panels and washing machines. The looming tariffs have prompted central bank officials to reassure investors.

The European Union has taken a firm stance ahead of the escalation, with Bank of England Governor Mark Carney saying the rise of protection­ism will affect trade flows and hike import costs.

“This is a dark day for economists. We’ve generally seen freer and freer trade since World War II, and now we seem to be reversing that,” David Dollar, senior fellow at the Brookings Institutio­n in Washington and a former U.S. Treasury attache in Beijing, said Thursday.

“China is committed to retaliatin­g proportion­ally.”

On June 15, Trump said the U.S. would begin charging additional duties of 25 per cent on $50 billion worth of Chinese imports in response to what he says is theft of American intellectu­al property. That’s split into two rounds — $34 billion on Friday and $16 billion later.

China has said it will fight back with “equal scale, equal intensity.”

Customs services for the U.S. and China will be responsibl­e for collecting the new tariffs as imports pass through the port of entry. When products on the list for extra levies are declared to customs, the importer will pay the additional levies.

Chinese stocks have taken a beating in recent weeks, entering a bear market, as concerns about the tradewar have mingled with worries about how an ongoing debt-control campaign will feed through into the outlook for economic growth.

People’s Bank of China Party Chief Guo Shuqing sought to calm markets, saying bond market risks are controllab­le and the economy is capable of bearing the impacts of trade frictions. The economic fundamenta­ls mean a sharp depreciati­on of the yuan is unlikely, he said in an interview with the Financial News.

U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said on June 20 that officials are beginning to hear that companies are postponing investment and hiring due to uncertaint­y about what comes next. “Changes in trade policy could cause us to have to question the outlook,” he said during a panel talk in Portugal.

U.S. stocks have wobbled on trade frictions, but the S&P 500 Index remains roughly level from the start of the year.

The tariffs are already having an effect. As an example, Chinese companies are reselling U.S. soybeans, and Chinese companies are expected to cancel most of the remaining soybeans they have committed to buy from the U.S. in the year ending Aug. 31, once the extra tariffs take effect.

Some American business are bracing for impact. U.S. manufactur­ers and business groups have said the tariffs could increase their costs and lead to higher prices for consumers.

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