National Post (National Edition)

TARIFF BATTLES PUT TRADE GROUP’S SURVIVAL AT RISK.

Report warns of ‘further erosion’ of credibilit­y’

- Stephanie nebehay

GENEVA • The credibilit­y and survival of the World Trade Organizati­on (WTO) is under “serious threat” as major economies put up protection­ist barriers, independen­t experts warned on Tuesday.

The report issued by the Bertelsman­n Foundation comes amid a deepening trade dispute between China and the United States which has engulfed other major trading partners.

U.S. President Donald Trump has warned he may ultimately impose tariffs on more than Us$500-billion worth of Chinese goods — nearly the total amount of U.S. imports from China last year — to combat what Washington says are Beijing’s trade abuses.

China has sworn to retaliate at each step.

The 14 experts, led by Bernard Hoekman, urged WTO’S 164 member states to agree on a new work program that will address tradedisto­rting policies and preserve the multilater­al rulebased trading system.

“Sticking to status quo modes of operating is a recipe for the institutio­n’s gradual demise,” they said in the report, Revitalizi­ng Multilater­al Governance at the World Trade Organizati­on.

It is urgent to avoid “further erosion of the WTO’S credibilit­y,” they said, adding: “This includes preventing backslidin­g by WTO members towards unilateral use of protection­ist trade policies and ensuring that disputes are resolved effectivel­y and efficientl­y.”

In a statement, WTO director general Roberto Azevedo welcomed the “very timely” report.

The United States told the WTO last week that a “reckoning” over China’s unfair trade policies is urgent and is too big for the WTO to handle.

The experts said that problems go beyond the failure to conclude the WTO’S stalled Doha round, launched in 2001, with some national policies distorting trade and threatenin­g to undermine the system.

The report cited the U.S. invoking national security concerns to impose tariffs and quotas on imports of selected products as a prime example.

“Such measures create systemic risks given the prospect of tit-for-tat imposition of trade-distorting measures and greater use of national security justificat­ions by WTO members for the imposition of protection­ist measures,” the report said.

China and India also feel that the WTO is unbalanced and treats them unfairly, the report added.

Failure to clinch new WTO agreements has led states to set up more than 400 preferenti­al trade agreements since 2000, it said.

“Care must be taken that the baby is not thrown out with the bathwater,” it said. “All countries, large and small, have a major stake in an effective, rules-based multilater­al trading system.”

More than 500 disputes have been brought to the

STATUS QUO ... A RECIPE FOR INSTITUTIO­N’S GRADUAL DEMISE.

WTO since 1995, the report noted.

Under Trump, the United States has demanded that the WTO’S dispute system is changed to stop Washington getting what he regards as an “unfair deal.”

Trump has also blocked appointmen­ts to the WTO’S appeals chamber to replace judges as their terms expire.

“If this matter is not resolved, the Appellate Body will be down to 3 members in September 2018, the minimum needed to consider an appeal, and will cease to be operationa­l at the end of 2019 when two more vacancies arise,” the report said.

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