Trudeau emerges chastened, but relieved
In his post election speech, Trudeau sidestepped much of the separatist angst felt by some portions of the country, saying the Liberals had won a “clear mandate” to govern.
He said he would work to “ensure that the voice of Quebec can be heard even more in Ottawa” after his election win. His message to Alberta and Saskatchewan, which he called an “essential part of our great country,” was slightly more subdued: “I’ve heard your frustration and I want to be there to support you,” he said.
Trudeau’s election win comes amid a growing sense of Western alienation in Alberta over frustrations in the province’s battered oil and gas sector. Years of regulatory and legal wrangling has snarled major pipeline projects like the Trans Mountain expansion, forcing many producers to sell their oil at steep discounts and bleeding hundreds of billions in lost revenues.
Following the establishment of a minority Liberal government propped up by the NDP, many in Calgary’s corporate towers are already anxious over whether the Trans Mountain expansion could become a political football this winter.
As of Tuesday evening, well over 150,000 Albertans had signed an online petition that called for the province to separate from the country.
A poll by Angus Reid Group published in January found that 72 per cent of Western Canadians believed they are generally not “treated fairly” by Ottawa, compared to just 49 per cent of Eastern Canadians responding the same way. Alberta led Western provinces with 83 per cent of respondents saying that Ottawa treated their province unfairly.
Fears in the oilpatch were further stoked on Tuesday after news reports emerged that Husky Energy had laid off a number of employees amid years of low oil prices. The company did not specify how many people would lose their jobs as part of the cuts.
Some observers on Tuesday downplayed East-West tensions, saying much of the angst in Alberta over pipeline politics is a failure to recognize much deeper-lying problems, foremost the lack of land agreements with First Nations that have snarled major projects.
Kenney, for his part, roundly rejected the idea of Alberta separatism, saying it would only serve to bar the province from building new infrastructure. “We’re not going to get one inch closer to a pipeline by closing in on ourselves as a landlocked jurisdiction,” he said.
The resurgence of the Bloc Québécois, meanwhile, is perhaps the starkest example of new regional divisions in Canada, with the sovereigntist party winning 32 of Quebec’s 78 seats on Monday night. The Bloc’s rise all but shut the NDP out of Quebec, leaving the New Democrats with a single seat in Montreal.
Bloc Leader Yves-François Blanchet has portrayed his party as the true defender of Quebec values, and reiterated his promise on election night to work only toward advancing Quebec’s interests in Ottawa. “If what is proposed is good for Quebec, you can count on us,” he told supporters. But if not, “the Bloc will stand in the way.”
Blanchet has been clear that the Bloc will not push for Quebec independence in the immediate future. But his priorities will no doubt include insisting that Ottawa not get involved in a legal challenge of Bill 21, Quebec’s controversial secularism law, and seeking more autonomy for Quebec on immigration and other matters.
A strong Bloc presence in Parliament could further exacerbate tensions with the West, as the party is adamant that no new pipeline will be built through Quebec, and opposes the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion. “The Bloc Québécois will be collaborative, unless it’s a question of transporting more oil across the country,” Blanchet said during his speech Monday night.
Bloc MP Rhéal Fortin, a former interim leader, said the other parties are hampered by having to appeal to voters across the country with different priorities, while the Bloc focuses only on Quebec. “They want to please their voters in the West with pipelines … while here in Quebec, we say no,” he told reporters on Monday. “People want to be represented by people who understand them, who represent their values.”
McGill University political scientist Daniel Béland told the National Post last week that the Bloc Québécois’ rise is partly due to a sense that “Quebec and francophones are under attack.” He referred to Kenney’s attacks on the federal equalization program and Ontario Premier Doug Ford’s cuts to francophone services. Quebecers have also been sensitive to outside criticism of Bill 21, which is popular in the province. National Post, with files from