Samsung launches 5G tech offensive as Canada, other nations review Huawei risk
For years Huawei's biggest rivals in the telecoms equipment market — Finnish group Nokia Corp. and Sweden's Telefonaktiebolaget L M Ericsson — were based far away from the Shenzhen, China-headquartered group.
But now a credible challenger looking to tap into the once-in-a-decade global race to deploy 5G has emerged closer to home: Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd.
The Seoul-headquartered group has long lagged behind its global peers when it comes to providing telecoms kit. In the minds of investors and analysts, Sam sung' s struggling network business has been a distant afterthought to its core revenue drivers of computer chips, smartphones and displays.
However there are growing signs that the group is finally poised to make meaningful inroads, boosted by the confluence of 5G rollouts across the world and intensifying pressure from governments of U.S. allies to block Huawei, the sector's biggest player, from their networks.
Samsung's progress was underscored in September when it picked up its biggest 5G deal todate: a US$6.6-billion contract with U.S. group Verizon to supply 5G radio access network (RAN) equipment to the U.S. operator until the end of 2025, boosting its credibility as a serious contender in the network business.
“Samsung's recent win with Verizon could be a game changer,” said Stefan Pongratz, a 5G expert at research company Dell'Oro Group.
Huawei, Ericsson and Nokia still dominate the global network equipment market, collectively holding a 70-per-cent to 80-per-cent share, according to estimates. But Samsung is gaining ground. In the overall telecom equipment market, which includes earlier iterations such as 4G, Samsung's market share has roughly doubled over the past two years to about three per cent, according to Dell'Oro. But in the new market of 5G mobile infrastructure, its market share by mid-2020 was in the 10-per-cent to 15-per-cent range.
Samsung, which declined to comment for this article, is already capitalizing as countries ramp up 5G investment. Outside South Korea, where it is the biggest player in 5G network equipment, it has won deals in the U.S. with Sprint, AT&T and U.S. Cellular, and with KDDI in Japan, Telus and Videotron in Canada and Spark in New Zealand.
The race to deploy 5G — the world's fifth generation mobile network, touted as pivotal to advancements in industrial automation, driverless cars and the “internet of things” — is expected to spur annual investment averaging more than US$235 billion through to 2035, according to IHS Markit. The U.S. and China are each forecast to spend more than US$1 trillion in 5G-related capital expenditure and research and development over that 16-year horizon.
“We are very much at an early stage in the 5G era,” said Ian Fogg, lead analyst at U.K. research group Opensignal. “There still is a lot to play for.”
Pressure from the Trump administration on Huawei — including moves to limit sales of critical technology such as chips to the group — has sparked reviews in many countries over their reliance on kit from the Chinese group, both for core networks and the hardware such as base stations and antennas that make up RAN, which connect devices to those networks.
According to Dell'Oro data, telecoms operators in at least 14 countries are reassessing or reviewing their reliance on Huawei's RAN portfolio, including equipment across 2G, 3G and 4G. The countries, which include Australia, Brazil, Germany and the U.K., account for about one-third of the global RAN market. “Ericsson, Nokia, and Samsung have all benefited from the escalating geopolitical uncertainty,” said Pongratz.
Given the questions over Huawei's ability to access key technology and foreign markets, a key selling point for Samsung is its secure supply chain. The group's 5G business has little exposure to China, instead manufacturing its network equipment in South Korea and Vietnam while producing other key components, such as its 5G modem chip, in the U.S.
Samsung is accustomed to fighting for the top place in global tech rankings — be it in appliances, computer chips, smartphones or electronic displays — but its telecoms business is comparatively small.
While the company has been developing related technology for more than 40 years, several earlier attempts to grow its network business were scuppered after it focused on wireless technologies that quickly became obsolete.
In recent years the group has intensified its focus on 5G, spending more on research and taking a keener role in the development of the industry standards and protocols that apply to new network technology. At the start of the year Samsung trailed only Huawei in declared 5G patents, according to intellectual property group IPlytics. Problems faced by Nokia with the quality of its products in the initial stages of 5G have further buoyed the group, analysts said.
But competition will be fierce as companies compete for trillions of dollars in investment.
Fogg noted that previous changes in network gear technology — which occur roughly once every 10 years and require sharp increases in capital expenditure — have typically sparked periods of upheaval.
Some operators swapping out legacy Huawei equipment might favour Ericsson and Nokia because they, unlike Samsung, are more readily able to supply equipment from 2G through to 5G, analysts suggest. This leaves the European groups “very well positioned” to win opportunities in countries ditching Huawei, said Pongratz.
Last week it was announced that Nokia will become BT's largest supplier after it won an expanded deal to replace Huawei as a key supplier of 5G equipment to the U.K. company.
Samsung's counter is that there is little benefit from having a “single RAN,” arguing it is faster and no less secure for network operators to overlay 4G and 5G technology on legacy 2G and 3G networks.
Another criticism levelled by analysts is that Samsung, traditionally focused on manufacturing hardware, has suffered from a weak services offering as part of its network business, hindering its capacity in areas such as network design, testing, optimization and software.
According to people close to the company, it has made moves to remedy this, acquiring TeleWorld Solutions, a Virginia-based network services provider, in January this year, and launching a hiring spree for its services team.