Heisman pick Murray one hot QB prospect at just right time

WASHINGTON, D.C. Here is a pertinent question regarding both the future of two-sport phenom Kyler Murray and the shifting shape of the quarterback position in the NFL: if Russell Wilson, a thirdround pick by the Seattle Seahawks who was selected sooner than predicted, was the exact same prospect now as he was in 2012, how would the league view him?

“He’d be a first-round pick,” ESPN draft analyst Todd Mcshay said last month.

Mcshay projects Murray as a first-round NFL pick. He was early with that prediction and more and more NFL types are leaning toward his view. Even though Murray passed for 4,361 yards in coach Lincoln Riley’s venerated system this season and ran for another 1,001, producing 54 total touchdowns, that projection is a fascinating indication of what the NFL values in quarterback play and what historical fixations it no longer cares much about.

Murray stands five-foot-nine, played in an extreme-spread Air Raid passing offence and started for only one season. Not long ago, those traits would have doomed Murray as an NFL prospect.

But the ground has shifted. The NFL took forever to adapt to how college teams play offence, but the adjustment has happened seemingly all at once. Pro coaches have learned to do what college coaches have done over the last decade: take premier athletes, accentuate their strengths, simplify offensive schemes, play fast. Quarterbacks who stand in the shotgun and have the agility to move within and outside the pocket can create their own passing lanes, regardless of height.

The NFL coaches don’t have much choice. The quarterbacks coming into the league know one way to play and there is less practice time to indoctrinate them in an entirely new system.

For years, football was played one way with a few differences from level to level from peewee through college — spread it out, throw it around, rarely huddle, use spare terminology. The NFL resisted, choosing instead to try to fit the talents of quarterbacks into their systems. They have finally realized the folly of that approach.

Patrick Mahomes, who played in the Air Raid at Texas Tech, may win the MVP in his second season. Baker Mayfield, only a couple of inches taller than Murray and a product of both Texas Tech and Oklahoma, was drafted first overall last season and flashed the promise of a franchise quarterback.

That’s a bit of an oversimplification, of course. Mahomes took a year to learn Andy Reid’s system. Mayfield’s great rookie season included periods of adjustment in reading NFL defences. But the style they dominated with in college translated.

Murray may be about to prove that the NFL is no longer shunning short quarterbacks who played in extreme spread systems and like to run. It’s looking for them. Washington Post