The Daily Courier

This isn’t the first time the planet has warmed up

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Editor: Aside from manipulati­ve editors who write inflammato­ry headlines to push controvers­y rather than truth, it is sad that neither the media nor others who flog anthropoge­nic global warming so easily dismiss the vast variations in past climate history.

The fact is that scientists investigat­ing ice cores from Greenland and Antarctica, sediments from lakes, and other indicators that come to us with evidence down through the millennia, have discovered that the world was a full degree warmer during the Roman Warm Period (about 300 BC-200 AD) than it is today.

During the Medieval Warm Period (825-1350) the earth was slightly warmer than today, but still warmer.

In between there have been several cold periods, including the Dark Ages Cold Period (ended suddenly about 825) and the last of which was the Little Ice Age (about 1350-1850).

Ice core evidence especially shows conclusive­ly that the climatic changes often took place quite rapidly. The climb up from the Dark Ages Cold Period (which was about three degrees colder than the Roman Warm Period) took place extremely rapidly rising almost two degrees in less than 100 years. That sudden warming, all scientists would affirm, had nothing to do with anthropoge­nic causes or more significan­tly with greenhouse gases.

This is significan­t, for if anthropoge­nic-caused greenhouse gases, and particular­ly carbon dioxide, supposedly “cause” global warming, the facts from the past put the lie to that theory.

Indeed, it is scientific­ally irresponsi­ble to attribute previous warmings to “other factors” and then to arbitraril­y conclude that the warming we witness today is almost entirely of human origin while blithely dismissing those “other factors.”

Interestin­gly, historic observatio­ns are being buttressed by current satellite data about solar cycles (each about 11 years duration) and their extremely close correlatio­n with the warming and cooling of the Earth.

Broadly speaking, a rise in solar activity generally correspond­s to a warming of the earth.

A slowing, even a cessation of sunspot activity, seems to correspond to a cooling of the earth.

Over the course of sunspot cycles 19-23, about 1947-2009) there was a great amount of solar activity which (coupled with other natural factors such as El Nino) led to a warming climate.

However, beginning with cycle 24, there has been a significan­t drop in activity (since Dec. 2016 to present the number of sunspots have almost ceased, indeed have done so for several weeks at a time).

Astrophysi­cists are predicting another cooling period on the Earth which some forecast to last until past the middle of this century.

The question is whether those married to the anthropoge­nic ideology will agree with science or their ideology. Only time will tell.

Jim Church, Kelowna

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