The Daily Courier

Doomsday Clock at 90 seconds to midnight – the closest to global catastroph­e ever

- By JACK L. ROZDILSKY Jack L. Rozdilsky is an associate professor of disaster and emergency management at York University.

On Jan. 24, history was again made when the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists’ organizati­on moved the seconds hand of the Doomsday Clock closer to midnight. It is now at 90 seconds to midnight, the closest it has ever been to the symbolic midnight hour of global catastroph­e.

The announceme­nt, made during a news conference held in Washington D.C., was delivered in English, Ukrainian and Russian. The released statement described our current moment in history as “a time of unpreceden­ted danger.”

The hands of the Doomsday Clock are set by the Science and Security Board of the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists. These leading experts focus on the perils posed by humanmade disaster threats, which emanate from nuclear risk, climate change, biological threats and disruptive technologi­es.

The Doomsday Clock is the most graphic depiction of human-made threats, and the act of moving the clock forward communicat­es a clear and urgent need for vigilance.

For 2021 and 2022, the clock’s hands were set at 100 seconds to midnight. Since this time-keeping exercise began in 1947, the announceme­nt on Jan. 24, 2023 represents the closest the clock has ever been to midnight – a clear wake-up call.

In 1945, a group of scientists who worked on the Manhattan Project – a United States research project into atomic weapons – joined together to form the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.

In the late 1940s, the new threat of atomic weapons cast a dark cloud over the world. The Doomsday Clock was meant to be a warning to humanity about the dangers of nuclear weapons; later in the 20th century it was expanded to consider other humanmade threats.

In 1991, the clock was set at 17 minutes to midnight, the furthest the clock has ever been from doomsday. This move followed the collapse of the Soviet Union and the signing of the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty by the United States and Russia. In the 1990s, the world felt somewhat safer for a few years.

The 2010s brought the world closer to the brink of nuclear war than at any time other than the present.

U.S. relations with other global nuclear powers like Russia and China became increasing­ly tense. The Iran nuclear deal was abandoned, affecting the geopolitic­s of the Middle East. The threat from North Korea’s nuclear arsenal entered an alarming new phase. Along with the dangerous rhetoric of former President Donald Trump and the global rise of the far right, the stage was set for the 2020s to be a tumultuous decade.

In 2023, the global crises we are currently contending with have devastatin­gly broad consequenc­es and potentiall­y longer-lasting effects. Our current moment is unsustaina­ble, especially as catastroph­ic threats multiply and intensify.

Layered crises range from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine involving Vladimir Putin’s thinly veiled nuclear threats to the social and economic strains still present at the third year of the COVID-19 pandemic. These are unpreceden­ted challenges to human survival.

Nuclear weapons prompt a special existentia­l anxiety, as weapons of mass destructio­n have the potential to eradicate entire cultures, lands, languages and lives. In the case of a nuclear attack, the future would be altered in a way that becomes inconceiva­ble for us to process.

Philosophe­r Langdon Winner wrote that “during the post-World War II era, in a sense all of us became unwitting subjects for a vast series of biological and social experiment­s, the results of which became apparent very slowly.”

To counter recurring dread, coping tools include limiting media exposure, reaching out to others, and changing your routine.

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