The Guardian (Charlottetown)

In the path

On P.E.I., winds will gust to 100 km/h or more overnight and most of the province will see at least 100 millimetre­s of rain

- DAVE STEWART

Hurricane Dorian was downgraded to a category 1 storm on Friday, but it’s still going to pack quite a wallop when it hits P.E.I. late Saturday into Sunday morning.

Cindy Day, chief meteorolog­ist with the SaltWire Network, said the central and eastern parts of the Island can expect in the area of 100 millimetre­s of rain, while the extreme western tip of the province could see as much as 150 millimetre­s.

As for the winds, it looks like the entire Island will see gusts climbing to 90 km/h late Saturday, intensifyi­ng to 100 km/h or more overnight, between midnight and 7 a.m. Sunday.

“What’s going to be interestin­g on P.E.I. is the really perfect rotations. You’re going to start with that east wind with gusts to 90 km/h, then it will be northeast gusting to 90, then it will be north gusting to 90 and north and northwest gusting to 90,’’ Day said on a conference call with reporters Friday. “Those winds will start to build late (Saturday) afternoon and in the evening, but the worst will definitely be midnight to about 7 a.m.’’

Compoundin­g the wind situation are the leaves on the trees. Day said that could result in more damage as branches break off.

Northumber­land Ferries Ltd. announced on Friday that all ferry crossings between P.E.I. and Nova Scotia have been cancelled for Saturday, and service disruption­s are expected on Sunday. The ferry service isn’t expected to resume until Sunday afternoon at the earliest. Visit www.ferries.ca for the latest informatio­n.

As for Confederat­ion Bridge, officials are cautioning travellers of possible restrictio­ns to vehicles. Updates are provided at confederat­ionbridge.com and on the bridge’s app.

P.E.I. will also experience the effects from a storm surge along the north shore that will see four- to-six-metre waves. Halifax will see seven-to-eight metre waves while Cape Breton will see 13-metre waves.

Dorian is expected to make landfall near Halifax as a rapidly weakening category 1 hurricane before it hits P.E.I. as a strong post-tropical storm.

Parts of Nova Scotia could see up to 150 millimetre­s of rain.

It looks like southweste­rn Newfoundla­nd and Labrador will get the worst of the wind, with gusts to 130 km/h.

One thing Day is confident in saying is Dorian won’t be a repeat of hurricane Juan which struck P.E.I. in 2003 as a category 1.

“It isn’t Juan. Juan made landfall as a category 2 (hurricane),’’ she said. “This will make landfall either as a very weak 1 or a strong post-tropical (and) this system will shoot across Atlantic Canada. It will certainly be posttropic­al when it hits P.E.I.’’

It is a quick-moving system. By 8 p.m. Saturday, Dorian will be sitting off the southwest corner of Nova Scotia and by 8 a.m. Sunday, it will be sitting off Port aux Basques, N.L.

“So, that’s quite a rapid transition.’’

For the latest forecast from SaltWire meteorolog­ist Cindy Day, see page B12 or go to www.theguardia­n.pe.ca and click on weather for a video broadcast of her latest forecast

Follow her on Twitter @ CindyDayWe­ather or on her Facebook page

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