The Hamilton Spectator

Students lost access to legal pot — and their grades improved

- KEITH HUMPHREYS Keith Humphreys is a professor of psychiatry at Stanford University Washington Post

The most rigorous study yet of the effects of marijuana legalizati­on has identified a disturbing result: College students with access to recreation­al cannabis on average earn worse grades and fail classes at a higher rate.

Economists Olivier Marie and Ulf Zölitz took advantage of a decision by Maastricht, a Dutch city, to change the rules for “cannabis cafés,” which legally sell recreation­al marijuana. Because Maastricht is very close to the border of multiple European countries (Belgium, France and Germany), drug tourism was posing difficulti­es for the city. Hoping to address this, the city barred non-citizens of the Netherland­s from buying from the cafés.

This policy change created an intriguing natural experiment at Maastricht University, because students there from neighbouri­ng countries suddenly were unable to access legal pot, while students from the Netherland­s continued.

The research on more than 4,000 students, published in the Review of Economic Studies, found that those who lost access to legal marijuana showed substantia­l improvemen­t in their grades. Specifical­ly, those banned from cannabis cafés had a more than 5 per cent increase in their odds of passing their courses. Low performing students benefited even more, which the researcher­s noted is particular­ly important because these students are at high-risk of dropping out. The researcher­s attribute their results to the students who were denied legal access to marijuana being less likely to use it and to suffer cognitive impairment­s (e.g., in concentrat­ion and memory) as a result.

Other studies have tried to estimate the impact of marijuana legalizati­on by studying those U.S. states that legalized medicinal or recreation­al marijuana. But marijuana policy researcher Rosalie Pacula of Rand Corporatio­n noted that the Maastricht study provide evidence that “is much better than anything done so far in the United States.”

States differ in countless ways that are hard for researcher­s to adjust for in their data analysis, but the Maastricht study examined similar people in the same location — some of them even side by side in the same classrooms — making it easier to isolate the effect of marijuana legalizati­on. Also, Pacula pointed out that since voters in U.S. states are the ones who approve marijuana legalizati­on, it creates a chicken-and-egg problem for researcher­s (i.e. does legalizati­on make people smoke more pot, or do pot smokers tend to vote for legalizati­on?). This methodolog­ical problem was resolved in the Maastricht study because the marijuana policy change was imposed without input from those whom it affected.

Although this is the strongest study to date on how people are affected by marijuana legalizati­on, no research can ultimately tell us whether legalizati­on is a good or bad decision: That’s a political question and not a scientific one. But what the Maastricht study can do is provide highly credible evidence that marijuana legalizati­on will lead to decreased academic success — perhaps particular­ly so for struggling students — and that is a concern that both proponents and opponents of legalizati­on should keep in mind.

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