Federal economic ‘snapshot’ will be delivered on July 8

Uncertainty makes meaningful forecasts impossible, PM warns

OTTAWA—As the country enters its 13th week since the COVID-19 pandemic clamped down hard on the Canadian economy, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau concedes it’s time the country gets a better look at the state of the federal government’s finances.

But he is also managing expectations, saying this peek into the federal balance sheet will not satisfy opposition parties’ calls for a full economic update.

Instead, Trudeau is promising to deliver a “snapshot” of the federal finances in the House of Commons July 8.

“I think it will be useful for people to see the scale and the details on everything we have put out,” Trudeau said during a press conference in front of his Rideau Cottage residence Wednesday.

The Liberals had scheduled the release of the 2020 federal budget in March, but postponed it indefinitely when public health officials began placing restrictions on public gatherings due to COVID-19.

Since then, the Trudeau government has faced growing calls to release plans for an economic and fiscal update.

Uncertainty from the pandemic makes meaningful forecasts impossible, Trudeau said.

“I’ve consistently said an economic and fiscal update would be unrealistic right now because it automatically includes projections for a year, three years, five years ahead of time, which, quite frankly, we couldn’t make any responsible predictions about it,” he said.

That’s why he is warning the financial details to be delivered in July will not be a full economic update, but rather a slimmed-down version, detailing government spending measures that have been rolled out so far during the pandemic with some short-term spending estimates. Every two weeks, the Liberals have updated the Commons finance committee on the emergency COVID-19 spending measures and those reports will form the basis of what will be presented July 8, he explained.

“We will gather all that together along with a sense of where we are, comparisons to where we are compared other countries, and some estimates on where we could be in the coming months,” Trudeau said.

Revenues have plunged and expenses have soared: millions of workers stopped earning incomes as their workplaces shut down and started collecting benefits instead. That’s sent estimates of the federal deficit into orbit, to $250 billion or more.

Trudeau said the situation demanded the biggest government response in our lifetimes.

Bloc Québécois Leader YvesFrançois Blanchet accused the Liberals of waiting until the middle of summer to release the fiscal “snapshot” at a time Canadians are less likely to be paying attention.

He accused Trudeau of acting like a “king” by not supporting requests to allow Parliament to continue operating normally through the summer in a hybrid format — with some MPs taking part in proceedings in the House of Commons chamber and some participating virtually — to improve the emergency aid programs.

Trudeau reacted by saying the Bloc and the Conservatives may be upset their attempts to get Parliament to resume full sittings over the summer didn’t win majority support in the Commons, but this doesn’t mean the country is suddenly being run by dictatorship.

“It’s sort of irresponsible and it undermines I think the strength of our democracy that we’ve been able to show through this crisis the strength of our institutions that continue to do really important work, not just to help Canadians during this crisis but to remain accountable and engaged in our democratic processes.”