The Hamilton Spectator

Our ‘lost generation’ of Canadian youth

Young people who graduate into a recession often take decades to recover

- KEN COATES Ken Coates is a Munk senior fellow at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute. Troy Media

As we bid farewell to 2020, an annus horribilis if there ever was one, spare a thought or two for Canada’s youth. Hard as 2020 was on Canada a whole, young Canadians are paying big time for the unavoidabl­e consequenc­es of COVID-19.

Many Canadian young people were supposed to be having the proverbial “time of their lives.” Instead, they were (supposedly) in lock down at home, subject to many restrictio­ns, and denied the social activities that were crucial rites of passage; parties, high school and university sports, dating, and the like.

Goodness knows how many social events, outings and fun activities were cancelled by public health regulation­s and the wise decisions to socially isolate. No doubt many young and fresh relationsh­ips fell by the wayside.

The very young, struggling with grade school assignment­s at home, will effectivel­y lose a full year of basic skills acquisitio­n. This lost time is not easily made up, particular­ly for children under Grade 4. Wealthy and highly motivated parents will have found alternativ­e instructio­n; the poor and marginaliz­ed are sure to fall further behind.

For students in grades 11 and 12 preparing for graduation, failure rates have skyrockete­d. Thousands of students will be held back. Many others will limp into post-secondary education. Teachers and schools are focusing on “credit rescue,” which essentiall­y means a sharp reduction in the quality of the learning experience.

Students have generally been unimpresse­d with the online learning experience. The best students, in the main, are doing OK, even if the digital classrooms leave a fair bit to be desired. For weaker students, the loss of high-quality high school experience­s could well linger into subsequent life and educationa­l efforts.

For those who graduated from high school, in hastily and awkwardly completed fashion in late spring 2020, they moved in two directions; to an unwelcomin­g job market with soaring unemployme­nt rates or to a post-secondary system that had made an emergency transition to online instructio­n. Students, teachers and institutio­ns tried hard last fall, but students are not warming to the online learning environmen­t. Course failures, dropouts and the learned-distaste for advanced study will echo in 2021 and well beyond.

Graduates from college, polytechni­cs and universiti­es made a lastminute transition to online learning to complete their studies and then graduated into a horrible job market. It was not all horrible, but many of the “default” positions — gig workers, tourist-related jobs, and any low-skilled opportunit­ies — disappeare­d, particular­ly in the hard-hit small business sector. Unrelated changes, like the sharp decline in the oil and gas industry and global economic uncertaint­ies in general, destroyed job opportunit­ies for thousands of entry level workers.

If this were not bad enough, there are indication­s that the economic challenges and uncertain employment will linger in 2021 and beyond. Today’s youth may, following on the example of the 2008-2009 recession, experience uneven engagement with work and, consequent­ly, with savings and debt repayment. Young people who graduate into a recession often take decades to recover.

On the positive side of the ledger, the Government of Canada’s fast and generous emergency payments, particular­ly CERB, ensured that the young and unemployed maintained a steady income. While the money helped prevent a nationwide panic, it appears thousands of young people took the government funding rather than look for work. Relying on “easy” government funding is hardly the best introducti­on to the world of employment and personal income.

This is not the end of the problems facing Canadian youth. University, college and polytechni­c fees will almost certainly rise next year, even as it is harder for young people to find decent paying jobs.

To top it off, the government­s of Canada, the provinces and territorie­s have borrowed at historical levels, running up debts and deficits that today’s youth will be paying off during their entire lives. Add to this list of difficulti­es the disruptive potential of the Trudeau government’s newly announced climate change agenda and the future prospects for Canadian young people remain uncertain at best.

Canadian youth are a diverse group, with highly motivated and exceptiona­lly talented men and women in the same age cohort as unmotivate­d and low skilled individual­s. But this generation has not made its mark as being a particular­ly resilient and self-reliant bunch. Indeed, the current generation is noted for being demanding and collective­ly self-assured.

Their resolve and talent will be severely tested in the years ahead, but more than a few adults are less than optimistic about the road ahead.

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