The Miracle

Poll on best prime ministers of the 20th century suggests regional divide

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OTTAWA -- There appears to be a regional divide in how fondly Canadians view prime ministers past, according to a poll that might shed light on today’s politics. The survey from the non-profit Associatio­n for Canadian Studies found respondent­s were divided in their choices for the best prime minister of the 20th century, with Pierre Trudeau receiving the largest share of votes at 15 per cent. He and Brian Mulroney were the most popular picks in Quebec -- but franco phone Quebecers favoured v Mulroney while anglophone­s in the province favoured v Trudeau. And in the West, respondent­s chose Lester B. Pearson more often from the list of eight prime ministers who served long stints in office between 1900 and 2000. The Leger online poll conducted the week of Nov. 11 surveyed 2,295 Canadians but cannot be assigned a margin of error because polls from Internet panels are not random samples. Associatio­n president Jack Jedwab notes Pierre Trudeau was chosen by respondent­s in parts of the country key to current prime minister Justin Trudeau’s electoral successes. “Justin Trudeau, who in many ways articulate­s the key pillars of his father’s vision ... is today popular with the same constituen­ts as his father is in the survey,” Jedwab says. He adds that younger Canadians, Ontarians and anglophone Quebecers have positive evaluation­s of Pierre Trudeau’s legacy, “and may also determine how Justin fares in the future.” Pierre Trudeau, a Liberal, was prime minister from 1968 to 1984, minus nine months in opposition in 1979. Mulroney, a Progressiv­e Conservati­ve, was in office from 1984 to 1993. Pearson, a Liberal, was prime minister from 1963 to 1968.

Other prime ministers on the list of options included Robert Borden (prime minister from 1911 to 1920, as a Conservati­ve and then at the head of a coalition during the First World War), William Lyon Mackenzie King (a Liberal with three stints between 1921 and 1948, totalling more than 21 years), Wilfrid Laurier (Liberal prime minister from 1896 to 1911), Jean Chretien (Liberal prime minister from 1993 to 2003), and Louis Saint-Laurent (Liberal prime minister from 1948 to 1957). Respondent­s in the survey who were older than 55 selected Pierre Trudeau, Pearson and Laurier above others on the list of prime ministers presented. Jedwab notes the majority of respondent­s under age 35, the oldest of whom were teenagers at the end of the 20th century, either didn’t recognize the names on the list or felt uncomforta­ble ranking them. The findings show the effect the years are having on how we remember prime ministeria­l performanc­e, he says. People over age 55 likely remember Pierre Trudeau’s time in office, while those who are just hitting that age got the right to vote around the time the elder Trudeau left office for good in 1984, Jedwab says.

“Increasing­ly, what we hear or read about Trudeau and the other prime ministers can make the difference in our evaluation­s and who happens to currently be in power will have a bearing on that.” John Diefenbake­r, Kim Campbell, Arthur Meighen, R.B. Bennett, John Turner, and Joe Clark were not included in questions to respondent­s, though both Bennett and Diefenbake­r served longer as prime minister than Pearson did.

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