The Province

Pending ‘social deficit’ could hit Canada hard

- BRIAN EMMETT Brian Emmett is chief economist for Canada’s charities and non-profits at Imagine Canada.

Canada faces a slowly intensifyi­ng crisis. Demand for the essential services provided by charities and non-profits will rise dramatical­ly over the next decade, but the sector’s revenue streams are not likely to keep up with demand.

By 2026, Imagine Canada, a national organizati­on working on behalf of charities, projects that the sector will need an additional $25 billion to meet spiking demand for services. This calculatio­n is based on projected increases being driven by current demographi­c trends and average annual GDP growth of 1.8 per cent between now and 2026.

This means charities and non-profits will need roughly double what they raise today to meet the demand. We call this the emerging “social deficit” and it will manifest itself in a rise of unmet needs if systemic action is not taken.

The cost of inaction will be high when you factor in the enormous financial pressure government­s will face within a decade to maintain social services Canadians want and have come to rely upon.

What should be done? The answers lie in understand­ing the demographi­c, cultural and economic trends driving demand; the social and economic value of giving charities a voice in macroecono­mic policy and the need to reform regulation­s governing charities.

Demand side drivers include: our rapidly aging population, which is necessitat­ing a major increase in support services; rising transition­al needs among a more diverse population of immigrants and refugees; the impacts of climate change on the environmen­t and communitie­s; and, increasing demand for poverty-related services as the benefits of economic growth is concentrat­ed in fewer hands.

Solving the social deficit largely depends on the deployment of inclusive, equitable and environmen­tally friendly economic policies. Canada needs income growth that benefits more people, particular­ly those in marginaliz­ed groups who are more likely to rely on services provided by charities.

From the perspectiv­e of addressing the social deficit, economic policies aimed at raising income levels more broadly would simultaneo­usly slow demand for charitable services and increase the capacity of Canadians to give.

There are serious discussion­s going on today about the future of our economy. Canadians want the higher standard of living that inclusive economic growth brings. Charities are uniquely qualified to work with policy-makers to create economic policies that do more than just trickle down to most Canadians.

Canada’s 170,000 charities and non-profits excel at inclusiven­ess and creating social value across areas ranging from health care to social services, education, internatio­nal developmen­t and the environmen­t. With a seat at the policy table, they could contribute to the government’s developmen­t of smart policies.

Our sector is also relevant to policy-makers because it’s an important engine of jobs and growth, accounting for 8.1 per cent of GDP and a workforce topping two million. The sector also represents 13 million volunteers who give their time and talent to help others.

Charities offer government a deep reservoir of ideas and capabiliti­es to advance social good. As things stand, however, charities and non-profits have virtually no voice in economic policy. This must change if we are going to address the social deficit and protect our quality of life, which is the envy of much of the world and a mainstay of Canada’s competitiv­eness in the global economy.

Fighting the social deficit also requires reforming the regulatory framework governing charities and non-profits. Regulatory change to modernize the relationsh­ip between government and charities is long overdue and is needed to spur the innovation and agility the sector needs to continuous­ly advance efficienci­es and service quality.

Of importance is providing charities and non-profits with new ways to finance their activities. Priority should be given to creating new social investment or social equity instrument­s that would ease restrictio­ns on earned income to enhance service capacity.

How we support each other and our communitie­s all contribute­s to our country’s wealth. Actions to fight the social deficit will benefit millions of Canadians. Inclusive economic growth coupled with regulatory reform is essential to maintainin­g Canada’s position as the best country in the world in which to live and raise a family.

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