Times Colonist

Balanced dialogue on oil is needed

- THOMAS GUNTON Thomas Gunton is director of the Resource and Environmen­tal Planning Program at Simon Fraser University.

Re: “Renewable energy no quick fix for pipelines,” column, July 8.

While I appreciate Gwyn Morgan’s response to my commentary calling for more balance in discussing energy issues, his response does not address my concerns that he omits key facts and is prone to exaggerati­on.

I criticized him for blaming rising gas prices on taxes, when the fact is that taxes account for less than 10 per cent of the increase, with the remaining 90 per cent-plus accounted for by the oil industry. His response fails even to acknowledg­e his error.

I criticized him for failing to mention three major new oil pipeline projects totalling 1.7 million barrels per day of new capacity and, consequent­ly, missing the fact that we are planning to build more pipeline space than we need and there are alternativ­es to Trans Mountain that do not put B.C.’s coast at risk. He provides no explanatio­n as to why he did not mention these pipelines in his original articles.

He acknowledg­es the existence of these options in his response, but dismisses them because they do not reach world-priced markets at tidewater. But the fact is that industry has already invested billions in these Enbridge and TransCanad­a projects because they are viable and connect to world prices at the U.S. Gulf Coast (which is at tidewater).

Other proposed Enbridge pipeline expansions, meanwhile, can use Alberta oil to displace imports into Canada, which would help to reduce our dependence on the U.S. market with no risk to B.C.’s coast. We can debate the merit of these options, but leaving them out of the discussion makes no sense.

While I agree with Morgan that we need some additional pipeline space to get world prices for our oil, I criticized his assertion that we are losing $40 million “each day” by selling oil to the U.S. at below market prices by pointing out that this estimate is based on a short-term market aberration that is not representa­tive of the market over the past several years. To his credit, his response replaces his original exaggerate­d claim with the somewhat less exaggerate­d claim that our losses could be “as high as $40 million.”

He dismisses renewable energy because it is “intermitte­nt.” But while he’s eager to include the cost of intermitte­nt fluctuatio­ns in wind and sun, he inexplicab­ly leaves out the offsetting environmen­tal benefits of renewables and emerging energy-storage technologi­es that help address this constraint and makes no reference to the merits of energy conservati­on.

He also fails to reference the Internatio­nal Energy Associatio­n forecasts that show that renewables will meet 40 per cent of our increased energy demand and recent U.S. Energy Informatio­n data showing that renewables are indeed competitiv­e with fossil fuels, especially when the environmen­tal benefits are included.

On a minor point, Morgan mistakenly asserts that renewable energy is incapable of “fuelling” automobile­s and green energy has increased Ontario’s electricit­y costs to “the highest in North America.” He has apparently forgotten about the emergence of electric vehicles that can be “fuelled” by renewable electricit­y, and his claim that Ontario’s rates are the highest in North America is factually incorrect.

But my most serious criticism is his failure to even mention climate change in his original articles. I pointed him to the recent IEA forecast that showed that oil consumptio­n must decline if we are going to meet our Paris emission targets.

To his credit, Morgan now acknowledg­es this IEA forecast (while inexplicab­ly criticizin­g me for referencin­g it), but then dismisses it by concluding that meeting our climate-change targets is impossible. In Morgan’s world of expanding fossil-fuel consumptio­n and massive new pipeline constructi­on, this might be true. But the scientific consensus is that we have to do everything we can to reduce our reliance on fossil fuels to mitigate the potentiall­y catastroph­ic impacts of climate change.

It is clear that solving our energy and environmen­tal challenges requires balance, compromise and creativity. Knowledgea­ble industry representa­tives such as Morgan have an important role to play in this collaborat­ive dialogue.

However, we have to consider carefully all the evidence and listen with an open mind to other points of view if we are going to develop solutions that meet both our environmen­tal and economic objectives.

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