This Breeders’ Cup anything but star-studded
LOUISVILLE, Kentucky — The reigning Triple Crown champion is not part of the field for this weekend’s Breeders’ Cup Classic. And none of the horses in any of the 14 races that make up the Breeders’ Cup cards this weekend has ever won a Kentucky Derby, or a Preakness, or a Belmont Stakes.
So there’s little argument that the races at Churchill Downs this weekend have lost a little lustre.
The same argument could be made that this Breeders’ Cup might still end up as a bettors’ delight.
Justify, the Triple Crown champion who was forced into retirement by an ankle problem, would have given the $6 million US Classic an absolute superstar for bettors to back. But his absence creates a wide-open race, one that has the Dubai World Cup winner in Thunder Snow, the last two Travers Stakes winners in West Coast and Catholic Boy, and 5-2 early favourite Accelerate — who has won his last four Grade 1 starts.
“Bettors love a large, wideopen field that offers value in their selections,” said trainer Tom Amoss, whose horse Lone Sailor is a 30-1 morning-line longshot in the Classic. “I don’t have any question that that’ll be the case.”
There are plenty of reasons to like most of the horses in the Classic. Combined, the 14 entrants in the field have combined to hit the toteboard in 72 per cent of their lifetime starts.
Casual fans might not know all the names. But the sport’s biggest followers are likely seeing some serious Classic value.
“Justify not being part of the Classic, a Triple Crown winner, tends to take a little bit away from the Classic itself as far as the viewer wanting to see the best of the best,” Amoss said. “But don’t sell this group short. These are really, really good, talented horses and whoever emerges the victor is going to probably garner older horse divisional championships.”
Horse of the Year might even be there for the taking.
Whoever wins the Grade 1 Classic figures to take a big step toward contending for the Eclipse Award given to the year’s best horse. If Justify were here and won the Classic — like American Pharoah did three years ago in his Triple Crown year — it would be huge news, another positive shot in the arm for a sport that is seeking ways to draw in more interest.
“I would’ve loved to have him in there,” said trainer Bob Baffert, who conditioned both American Pharoah and Justify. “But I think it’s a good field, a solid field.”
That really can be said about all of the Breeders’ Cup races. The entrants for this weekend have combined to win 794 races, or just over 37 per cent of their career starts. It is inevitable that some horses who have never finished lower than third won’t even hit the board this weekend, a testament to the depth of these fields.