Toronto Star

WELCOME TO THE SECOND DIGITAL REVOLUTION

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Blockchain seems to have come out of nowhere to become a hot topic in technology and finance but few people seem to truly understand it. What is blockchain? We have spent two years researchin­g this technology and have concluded, unequivoca­lly, that blockchain technology is the second generation of the digital revolution. The first generation brought us the Internet of Informatio­n. The second generation — powered by blockchain — is bringing us the Internet of Value. So what is it? Blockchain is the ingeniousl­y simple, revolution­ary protocol that allows transactio­ns to be simultaneo­usly anonymous and secure, peer-to-peer, instant and frictionle­ss. It does this by distributi­ng trust from powerful intermedia­ries to a large global network, which through mass collaborat­ion, clever code and cryptograp­hy, enables a tamper-proof public ledger of every transactio­n that’s ever happened on the network.

And while it’s the technology that drives Bitcoin and other digital currencies, the underlying framework has the potential to go far beyond these and record virtually everything of value to humankind, from birth and death certificat­es to insurance claims and even votes. In short, it’s a new medium for value. What does this mean for average people? It will have a profound impact. Maybe you’re a music lover who wants artists to make a living off their art. Perhaps you’re an immigrant who’s sick of paying big fees to send money home to loved ones in your ancestral land. Or a Saudi woman who wants to publish her own fashion magazine. Maybe you’re an aid worker who needs to identify land titles of landowners so you can rebuild their homes after an earthquake. Or a citizen fed up with the lack of transparen­cy and accountabi­lity of political leaders. Or a user of social media who values your privacy and thinks all the data you generate might be worth something — to you. Or an entreprene­ur looking for a new platform to build a business. What could blockchain mean for the financial services industry? When we started our research a mere two years ago, few if any banks had woken up to this opportunit­y. Now, virtually every major player in the financial service industry — from banks to insurers to audit and profession­al service firms — are investing significan­t resources into this. And for good reason: Blockchain can radically reduce costs for banks, providing a boost to productivi­ty and making it easier to offer products and services to a global clientele.

They can also reduce risk in the industry, particular­ly in wholesale finance. Settlement times for many financial products take days, sometimes weeks, tying up capital and exposing industry participan­ts to huge counterpar­ty risks. Blockchain promises to radically simplify many business processes, reducing risk and boosting transparen­cy. That’s a good thing. And this is really the tip of the iceberg: Personal and commercial lending, risk management, investment banking, treasury services, global markets, insurance, technology, operations and asset management will each feel the effect. What are the risks for banks? The flip side of all of this is that blockchain will also radically lower barriers for new entrants to create alternativ­es to the convention­al banking industry, challengin­g incumbents in virtually every market where they operate, and so it’s as much a threat as an opportunit­y. But it’s not an existentia­l threat to financial services firms who embrace this new technology paradigm rather than fight it. The question is, who in the financial services industry will lead this revolution in a positive way?

These are exciting and perilous times.

Throughout history, leaders of the old paradigms have rarely embraced the new. Why didn’t AT&T launch Skype or Visa create PayPal? CNN could have built Twitter, as it is all about the sound bite, no? GM or Hertz could have launched Uber, and Marriott, Airbnb. As with major paradigm shifts that preceded it, blockchain will create winners and losers. Though opportunit­ies abound, the risks of disruption and dislocatio­n must not be ignored. However, occasional­ly, corporate leaders have the foresight and con- viction to emerge from times of upheaval even stronger than before. What else could be transforme­d by this technology? Well, perhaps the most enticing for business leaders is that blockchain could empower us to re-architect the corporatio­n, one of the pillars of modern capitalism. One of the main reasons we have corporatio­ns is because of transactio­n costs: so long as it’s cheaper to organize capability inside the boundaries of a company rather than contractin­g on the open market, companies will get bigger. I wish this was an original idea, but it was coined by Ronald Coase, who won a Nobel Prize for his pioneering work on the corporatio­n. Henry Ford recognized this principle, which is why the Ford Motor Company had a rubber plantation, timber mill, steel plant and assembly line — it was easier and cheaper to be vertically integrated than contract in an open market.

The Internet helped a little bit by dropping the cost of search, communicat­ion and co-ordination, but if you look at the company today, it doesn’t look dramatical­ly different from the companies of the past. It still costs a lot to contract, bargain, and enforce and police agreements between counterpar­ties. Blockchain could change all of this. With the rise of a global peer-to-peer platform for identity, trust, reputation and transactio­ns, we will be able to re-engineer deep structures of the firm for innovation and shared value creation. This doesn’t mean smaller firms in terms of revenue or impact. To the contrary, we’re talking about building 21st-century companies that look more like networks rather than the vertically integrated hierarchie­s of the industrial age. So, should people be fearful or hopeful about the potential of blockchain? They should be immensely hopeful. There is perhaps nothing more powerful than an idea whose time has come and blockchain could not have come sooner. Today, we are caught in the grip of a troubling prosperity paradox. The economy is growing but fewer people are benefiting. Youth unemployme­nt is stubbornly high, median incomes are slipping and new business formation is hitting multidecad­e lows in the developed world. The rise of the Internet has done little to alleviate the bureaucrat­ic bloat and inefficien­cies in the Global South either, stranding trillions of dollars of dead money in the dark economy. With blockchain technology, a world of possibilit­ies has opened to reverse all these trends.

We now have a true peer-to-peer platform that enables personal economic empowermen­t: we can own our identities and our personal data, we can do transactio­ns, creating and exchanging value without powerful intermedia­ries acting as the arbiters of money and informatio­n. Billions of excluded people can soon enter the global economy. We can protect our privacy and monetize our own informatio­n. Rather than trying to solve the problem of growing social inequality through redistribu­tion alone, we can change the way wealth — and opportunit­y — is pre-distribute­d in the first place.

But blockchain is not a panacea for the world’s problems. Technology does not create prosperity, people do. Leadership and stewardshi­p — everyone’s personal opportunit­y — will be required to ensure a fair, thriving and prosperous future for all. Alex Tapscott is the CEO of Northwest Passage Ventures and co-author of Blockchain Revolution: How the Technology Behind Bitcoin is Changing Money, Business and the World (Penguin Random House, May 10)

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