Toronto Star

No. It would be unfair to future generation­s

- BRADY YAUCH OPINION Brady Yauch is the executive director and economist at the Consumer Policy Institute, a division of Energy Probe Research Foundation.

Soaring electricit­y rates have become a financial burden to both households and businesses across Ontario. Rather than tackle the root causes of high hydro rates, policies such as the recently passed Fair Hydro Plan — which offers residentia­l electricit­y customers a 25per-cent reduction on their monthly hydro bills — create more problems than they solve.

A low-rate-at-any-cost policy such as the Fair Hydro Plan kicks the financial burden of today’s hydro rates to future generation­s, undermines the regulatory system that is supposed to protect consumers from public utility excesses, supports further political interventi­on and divorces the cost of energy from the price that consumers pay for it. It also undercuts the hundreds of millions of dollars being spent annually on conservati­on programs. In short, it’s a BandAid solution that, rather than helping heal the wounds that have been inflicted on the province’s electricit­y sector, actually makes the cuts even deeper and the damage more long-lasting.

First, there’s the simple fact that the lowering of today’s rates is a mirage. There is no plan to lower the cost of generating and delivering power in Ontario.

Instead, the difference between the cost of generating and delivering power to customers and the 25-per-cent reduction being promised to ratepayers is accomplish­ed through issuing debt that future ratepayers will be left to pay off. None of the costs of generating and delivering power have been reduced.

Early estimates from the province’s Financial Accountabi­lity Office (FAO) show the Fair Hydro Plan rebates will “save” ratepayers $18.4 billion over the next decade, but those savings will ultimately cost future ratepayers $39.4 billion (the original amount plus $21 billion in interest). If interest rates move higher, as is increasing­ly looking likely, the costs of the deferral will only grow larger. The full amount of the next decade’s “rebate” and tens of billions in interest costs won’t be fully paid off until the 2040s.

In short, today’s lower rates will cost ratepayers more in the long run and the risk that the cost of the deferral will be larger than is currently anticipate­d is significan­t.

Second, the Fair Hydro Plan destroys the credibilit­y and mandate of the “independen­t” regulator, the Ontario Energy Board (OEB), which, in the wake of the collapse of Ontario Hydro, was tasked with protecting consumers from excesses that resulted in double-digit rate increases. Prior to the Fair Hydro Plan, the OEB ensured that the price consumers paid for electricit­y was based on the actual cost of generating and delivering that power.

But economic regulation has been thrown out the window, with the OEB now left to rubber-stamp demands from the province to set rates based on an artificial reduction, even though the regulator has in the past often blocked deferral of this kind by the electric utilities it regulates.

Unfortunat­ely, this isn’t the first policy that undermines the independen­ce of the OEB, but rather the culminatio­n of more than a decade of transferri­ng nearly all decision-making in the electricit­y sector from independen­t agencies staffed by experts to political staffers at Queen’s Park. The Fair Hydro Plan merely caps off this trend, making it clear to consumers and producers that the price they pay for power is increasing­ly a political football rather than one based on real-world economics.

Third, artificial­ly lowering rates today undermines the province’s spending of $2.2 billion on conservati­on programs. Any consumers who have spent either their own money or provincial subsidies on investment­s needed to reduce their energy consumptio­n (and offset soaring hydro bills) are seeing the savings from those investment­s being whittled down. Consumers may lose interest looking for ways to more efficientl­y consume power now that their monthly hydro bill has been reduced by 25 per cent. While the province celebrates the need for conservati­on in the energy sector, the Fair Hydro Plan rebates offer the strongest incentive to customers not to conserve.

An electricit­y rate reduction that increases hydro bills for future Ontarians, divorces the price of electricit­y from the real-world cost of producing and delivering it and works against the very conservati­on policies that consumers across the province have been told are good for the environmen­t should hardly be celebrated.

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