Toronto Star

Employers need to step up

There are plenty of workers, businesses just need to offer better incentives to attract them

- JIM STANFORD CONTRIBUTO­R Jim Stanford is a Hamiltonba­sed economist and a freelance contributi­ng columnist for the Star. Follow him on Twitter: @jimbostanf­ord

There’s no shortage of workers — but there is a shortage of incentive,

As health restrictio­ns ease and stores, restaurant­s and other services start to reopen, some employers complain they cannot entice workers back to their old jobs. Perhaps their employees changed careers or enrolled in higher education; others may be reluctant to come back while community spread of COVID-19 is still widespread.

It’s another headache for business owners trying to restart after the shutdowns. The president of the Canadian Federation of Independen­t Business went so far as to declare that Canadian employers now face a “shortage of labour.”

Canada has just recorded the highest unemployme­nt rate in its entire postwar history, so claims of a labour shortage seem far-fetched. The official unemployme­nt rate is 13.7 per cent — and that’s just the tip of the iceberg. Statistics Canada’s broader measure of joblessnes­s (called the “underutili­zation rate”) is 35 per cent. In other words, more than one in three workers wants work but can’t find it. That’s as bad as the worst years of the 1930s. What’s in short supply is jobs, not workers.

But employers’ grumbling reflects a genuine issue that will have to be confronted as the economy regains its footing. Even before the pandemic, lowwage service industries (the very ones that shut down first during the pandemic) already faced big challenges recruiting and retaining workers.

According to Statistics Canada data for late 2019, the industry with the most unfilled job vacancies was not engineerin­g or computer science or some other high-tech specializa­tion. It was accommodat­ion and food service: with 77,000 unfilled positions. The next-highest industry was retail trade, with 72,000 vacancies.

Even then, these employers complained about “labour shortages.” But those purported shortages never translated into improved wage offers. Indeed, the average wage offered by hospitalit­y employers for those hard-to-fill vacancies was just $14.35 per hour: the lowest of any industry. Retailers offered $15.60. How curious that the industries with the most job vacancies also offered the lowest wages. Maybe there’s a connection there. In theory, if something is in short supply, its price should increase. But the laws of supply and demand are suspended whenever employers complain it’s too hard to fill job openings — and then inevitably demand that government do something about it.

These long-standing recruitmen­t challenges were exacerbate­d by the COVID-19 pandemic. First, workers are understand­ably reluctant to accept the health risks of serving customers and travelling on public transit while the virus is still spreading. Second, the Canada

Emergency Response Benefit (CERB), paying a flat rate of $500 a week, has complicate­d employers’ low-wage strategies. CERB is not “rich” by any stretch of the imaginatio­n: it’s equivalent to less than minimum wage for full-time work. But CERB’s flat-rate benefit reduces the desperatio­n of workers to accept any job, regardless of the wage or the risk. That’s a good thing, not a bad thing. Employers’ recruitmen­t problems are partly due to stingy wages. But their failure to offer decent, reliable hours is actually the bigger issue. Most retail and hospitalit­y workers are scheduled for inadequate and irregular hours. As a result, weekly incomes are very low: a median of just $450 a week in the hospitalit­y sector. Who wants to return to work and risk infection, for a handful of hours’ work at minimum wage?

Neverthele­ss, expect to hear a growing chorus of complaints in coming weeks from employers that Canadians have become addicted to “handouts” and lost the incentive to work. Business lobbyists will push Ottawa hard to roll back the CERB, and restore strict requiremen­ts on the unemployed to seek and find work — no matter the pay or the risks. Their opposition to income supports is doubly ironic, because without the $146 billion in benefit payments Ottawa provided during the pandemic, business conditions for retailers and restaurant­s would be much worse than they are.

Employers’ complaints of “labour shortages” are not credible; and a more universal approach to income protection (as partly reflected in the CERB) should be maintained. Ultimately, we must find a better “incentive to work” than compelling people to accept low wages, uncertain hours, and risk of infection on pain of destitutio­n. And by pressuring service employers to improve the quality of the jobs they offer, this pandemic just might have a modest silver lining.

 ?? ANDREW FRANCIS WALLACE TORONTO STAR FILE PHOTO ?? It’s probably not a coincidenc­e that the industries with the most unfilled job vacancies late last year, hospitalit­y and retail, are also industries offering the lowest wages, economist Jim Stanford writes.
ANDREW FRANCIS WALLACE TORONTO STAR FILE PHOTO It’s probably not a coincidenc­e that the industries with the most unfilled job vacancies late last year, hospitalit­y and retail, are also industries offering the lowest wages, economist Jim Stanford writes.
 ??  ?? After cataclysm often comes change. The pandemic has overturned our lives and our assumption­s. In this occasional series, the Star looks at what lessons we might take and what future we might build.
After cataclysm often comes change. The pandemic has overturned our lives and our assumption­s. In this occasional series, the Star looks at what lessons we might take and what future we might build.
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