Waterloo Region Record

Overseas expansion key for Netflix

Investors continue to forgive minuscule profit for growth as 5.2 million subscriber­s added in Q2

- Lucas Shaw

Netflix shares soared after the streaming-video provider scored a record second quarter, surpassing forecasts for subscriber growth and boosting its internatio­nal audience past the domestic total for the first time.

Investors continue to forgive minuscule profit for growth in subscriber­s, which soared to almost 104 million in the period. The company’s stock price jumped as much as 9.7 per cent to $177 Tuesday in New York, its biggest increase since October. Netflix shares have risen 78 per cent in the past year.

The company’s second-quarter results, released Monday after the market closed, revealed how the streaming video giant has begun to reshape the TV business overseas just as it has at home.

Netflix’s blend of TV shows, movies and standup comedy has started to catch on in some of the biggest countries in the world, from Brazil to the U.K. The company will be in at least 20 per cent of broadband households in five of its largest markets outside the U.S. by the end of the year, according to Instinet.

“All throughout the West, in Latin America, North America and Europe, we’re doing very well,” chief executive officer Reed Hastings said on a webcast. “We just need to continue to do what we’re doing.”

The streaming-video provider signed up 5.2 million subscriber­s in the second quarter, 2 million more than analysts had forecast. The company said 4.14 million of those new viewers came from outside the U.S., bringing the internatio­nal total to more than 52 million. Internatio­nal operations will be profitable for the first time this year, Netflix said.

The company will spend more than $6 billion on programmin­g in 2017 to offer that global audience a little bit of everything. While most of the budget reflects shows licensed from big Hollywood studios, the company is releasing a dizzying array of new shows and movies of its own, including new series set in Spain, South Korea and Mexico during the quarter.

All that growth comes at a cost. Net income of $66 million, or 15 cents a share, fell short of the 16-cent average of analysts’ forecasts, even while up substantia­lly from a year earlier. Operating margin shrank to 4.6 per cent in the quarter, which the company attributed to higher content costs. Netflix raised $1 billion in the quarter to fund original programmin­g, and said it won’t be cash flow positive for years to come.

But investors won’t care so long as the subscriber growth continues. The company projects it will add 4.4 million subscriber­s in the current third quarter, compared with the 3.96 million average of analysts’ estimates. Netflix forecasts net income of 32 cents a share, on revenue of $2.97 billion. That compares with analysts’ estimates of 23 cents and revenue of $2.88 billion.

For the second quarter, Los Gatos, Calif.based Netflix signed up 1.07 million U.S. customers, easily beating the 633,000 average of analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Total sales grew to $2.79 billion, compared with projection­s of $2.76 billion.

Having already surpassed 50 million customers in the U.S., Netflix has fixated on adding customers abroad, especially in Latin America and Europe. The company recently opened a customer-service centre in Amsterdam that will employ at least 400 people by next year.

Netflix has promised internatio­nal markets will be a source of new customers for years to come. Hastings wants 80 per cent to 90 per cent of the company’s audience to be outside the U.S. — suggesting the company sees a global market of 450 million subscriber­s or more. Netflix stuck by its forecast for a 7 per cent operating margin for the year.

Asia remains the biggest challenge, Netflix officials repeated Monday. Consumers have different tastes in TV shows and movies and are more likely to watch on mobile devices.

“We’ll invest more time and energy in Asia,” Ted Sarandos, the company’s chief content officer, said on the webcast. Netflix will also put more people on the ground than it has in other places.

Netflix first moved overseas in late 2010, expanding to Canada, which remains the service’s largest internatio­nal market, according to estimates by Anthony DiClemente, an analyst with Instinet. The U.K. and Brazil are Netflix’s two largest markets outside the U.S. and Canada, while Germany is next.

Some media companies and authoritie­s have been less welcoming to Netflix than consumers. The Cannes Film Festival vowed not to show Netflix movies next year if the company doesn’t released them in French movie theatres. Local broadcaste­rs have united to produce programs so they can compete for projects with the freespendi­ng U.S. service.

Yet pay-TV operators and internet providers are more sanguine. Altice recently struck a deal to offer Netflix as an add-on to its internet service in France, Portugal, Israel and the Dominican Republic. Netflix has long downplayed competitiv­e threats, arguing there will be many winners in the shift to online TV.

In the second quarter, Netflix released more than 50 new programs, spanning 14 original series, 13 standup comedy specials, nine original films, seven original series for kids, six documentar­ies and two documentar­y series.

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