Waterloo Region Record

Trump is right to fight some global rules

Treaty giving China a postal discount among unbalanced deals U.S. should renegotiat­e

- GREG IP

Last week, the Trump administra­tion announced it was quitting the global treaty that governs mail delivery, calling it unfair to the U.S. Another episode of Trump vs. the World? Yes, but in this case probably justified—and therein lies a lesson.

U.S. President Trump’s frequent threats to tear up the pacts governing U.S. relations with the world are often met with a fullthroat­ed defence of the global rules-based order. Yet many of the pacts that make up that order have features that disadvanta­ge the U.S., sometimes for reasons that have become obsolete.

The Universal Postal Union is an excellent example. Founded in 1874 and now an agency of the United Nations, the UPU ensures that when a post office delivers a letter to another country, the receiving post office carries it to its local destinatio­n.

Originally, post offices did this for free. Then in 1969, UPU members began negotiatin­g “terminal dues,” fees that post offices pay their foreign counterpar­ts for costs incurred delivering their mail. Post offices in richer countries charged their developing­nation brethren lower dues to help them out.

The cost of this arrangemen­t became apparent as China rose to become the world’s dominant supplier of factory goods. The UPU classifies China as a developing country, so the U.S. Postal Service can’t charge its Chinese counterpar­t the full cost of delivery. Americans can order small manufactur­ed products such as CDs, DVDs, jewelry, small electronic­s and dietary supplement­s from China at a lower cost, including delivery, than from competing merchants in the U.S. Since 2012 small packages from Chinese e-commerce firms have flooded the U.S. The Postal Service doesn’t publish the precise number but it does report that inbound foreign mail has soared 66% since 2013.

Numerous distortion­s result: The Postal Service must offset losses on inbound internatio­nal mail ($135 million in fiscal 2016, according to the Government Accountabi­lity Office) by charging domestic customers more. Private delivery companies can’t compete with the artificial­ly low rate. Most serious, American e-commerce merchants are undercut by Chinese competitor­s.

In a report last year, the Hudson Institute gave the example of an electronic­s soldering iron that RadioShack sold for $14.99 (U.S.), or $20.94 with shipping. Chinese website DHgate advertised it for $17.53 with free shipping, for a lower all-in cost.

China isn’t being nefarious: Its entreprene­urs have merely sniffed out and exploited an irresistib­le advantage. Yet U.S. efforts to correct the imbalance, dating back years, have bogged down in the ponderous 192-member UPU. In 2016 members agreed to raise terminal dues. They merely rose from “below cost rates to ‘less below’ cost,” complained Robert Taub, chairman of the Postal Service’s overseer, the Postal Regulatory Commission.

U.S. withdrawal would take effect in a year; the U.S. by that point would declare its own rates for internatio­nal delivery. But U.S. officials say they hope to negotiate a solution to their complaints within the UPU before that.

The UPU may be an especially clear-cut example, but similar irritants exist in many internatio­nal arrangemen­ts. The U.S. has traditiona­lly overlooked them for the sake of its allies’ welfare and internatio­nal cooperatio­n, who in turn have little incentive to change the status quo. Mr. Trump has sought to change that.

Steel manufactur­ers have long suffered from global excess capacity, much of it in China, which now accounts for about half of world output. In search of a solution, the U.S. and other major economies formed the Global Forum on Excess Steel Capacity in 2016. It made little progress, says Scott Paul, president of the Alliance for American Manufactur­ing, which advocates for U.S. steelmaker­s: “China is perfectly happy to enter into a lot of dialogue as long as there aren’t actual commitment­s that are binding or actionable.” Steel tariffs were Mr. Trump’s response.

Since the North American Free Trade Agreement came into force in 1994, foreign automakers have used loopholes in its rules of origin to shoehorn ever more non-North American content into Mexican-assembled cars. The renegotiat­ed pact addresses that.

As with the UPU, the U.S. has grown frustrated with the World Trade Organizati­on’s inability to cope with the rise of China. U.S. Trade Representa­tive Robert Lighthizer complains other countries use the WTO’s dispute settlement mechanism to bat down American trade remedies even as the WTO fails to curb China’s distortion­ary and discrimina­tory behaviour. The U.S. is now blocking appointmen­ts to the WTO’s top appeals panel, which could bring its work to a halt.

The jury is out on whether Mr. Trump’s approach to these problems hurts or helps. He doesn’t help his case by alienating potential partners, such as by imposing tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from allies to deal with a Chinese problem.

At a minimum, though, he has forced the rest of the world to take American gripes seriously. On Tuesday the UPU said it commission­ed a report it hopes resolves U.S. complaints before it withdraws. And the European Union recently proposed a sweeping reform of the World Trade Organizati­on. The Trump administra­tion’s response so far has been tepid; now that it’s being listened to, it needs to reciprocat­e.

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