Waterloo Region Record

Brazil might be next hot spot

Over one million possibly infected and crisis could escalate, scientists say

- DAVID BILLER, MARCELO DE SOUSA AND ADAM GELLER

RIO DE JANEIRO—Brazil is emerging as potentiall­y the next big hot spot for the coronaviru­s amid President Jair Bolsonaro’s insistence that it is just a “little flu” and that there is no need for the sharp restrictio­ns that have slowed the infection’s spread in Europe and the U.S.

As some U.S. states and European countries moved gradually Monday to ease their limits on movement and commerce, the intensifyi­ng outbreak in Brazil — Latin America’s biggest country, with 211 million people — pushed some hospitals to the breaking point, with signs that a growing number of victims are now dying at home.

“We have all the conditions here for the pandemic to become much more serious,” said Paulo Brandão, a virologist at the University of Sao Paulo.

Brazil officially reported about 4,500 deaths and almost 67,000 confirmed infections. But the true numbers there, as in many other countries, are believed to be vastly higher given the lack of testing and the many people without severe symptoms who haven’t sought hospital care.

Some scientists said over one million in Brazil are probably infected. And the crisis could escalate as the country heads into winter, which can worsen respirator­y illnesses.

The country’s Health Ministry said that the system for accounting for deaths is “robust” and has captured all but a few cases.

Worldwide, the death toll topped 210,000, according to a tally by Johns Hopkins University. The number of dead in the U.S. surpassed 55,000 — close to the 58,000 U.S. troops killed during the Vietnam War. Italy, Britain, Spain and France accounted for more than 20,000 deaths each.

Bolsonaro has disputed the seriousnes­s of the coronaviru­s and said people need to resume their lives to prevent an economic meltdown. But most state governors in the country have adopted restrictio­ns to slow the spread and pushed people to stay at home.

In mid-April, Bolsonaro fired his popular health minister after a series of disagreeme­nts over efforts to contain the virus, replacing him with an advocate for reopening the economy. Residents protested, leaning out their windows to bang pots and pans.

Medical officials in Rio de Janeiro and at least four other major cities have warned that their hospital systems are on the verge of collapse or too overwhelme­d to take any more patients.

Officials in Sao Paulo — the largest city in South America, in a tightly packed metropolit­an area of over 21 million residents, many of them living in poverty — have issued death certificat­es over the past two weeks for 236 people who succumbed at home, double the number before the outbreak, according to the SAMU paramedic service.

Manaus, an Amazon city of 1.8 million, recorded 142 deaths on Sunday, the most yet, including 41 who died at home.

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