ACTA Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis

Applicatio­n and Researches for Trees Volume Estimation Based on Cusp Catastroph­e Theory Model

LI Wei1, CHEN Xiuwan1,†, MAO Haiying2, LI Fei1

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1. School of Earth and Space Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871; 2. Specialize­d Forces College of CAPF, Beijing 102202; † Correspond­ing author, E- mail: xwchen@pku. edu. cn

Abstract In order to study whether the growth of trees existence mutations problems, measuremen­t and calculatio­n of the mutation based on the cusp model theory is applied to 10 common species single tree volume in Wang Ye Dian forest farm which is located in Chifeng City, Inner Mongolia, China. 10 northern common tree species were selected to carry out the experiment, the tree height ( H), DBH ( D), volume ( V), diameter ( D0) were measured which as the true value. To test the Internal and external accord accuracy of the “V-H- D” model by using the improved differenti­al evolution algorithm and edge species and then compare the difference between model calculatio­n value and instrument measuring. After a certain iteration, the results showed that the overall relative error (RS) of the model is in the range of [0.001, 0.05], the average relative error ( E) is in the range of [  0.11, 0.02], and the overall prediction accuracy ( P) is greater than 80%. The outcome had shown the good fitness of the model, namely the cusp catastroph­e theory model applies to northern China 10 single species tree volume. With the growing of trees, when the height of the tree reaches a certain height, the volume will follow the theory model of cusp catastroph­e theory. This is the cusp catastroph­e theory model was first applied to the determinat­ion of single tree volume and got a better fitting result. Meanwhile, a low- dimensiona­l model of mutation was establishe­d in the discontinu­ous measuremen­t, which provides a theoretica­l and practical basis for the study of tree volume and

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