Evolution Analysis of Industry Correlation and Spreading Effect of Circulation Industry Based on the Input-Output Table

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（Capital University of Economics and Business，Beijing100070，China）

Abstract：Based on the relevant concepts definition of circulation industry and China's Input-Output tables，the authors use the Input- Output method to calculate the intermediate demand rate，the intermediate input rate，the influence coefficient，the inductance coefficient and so on. The authors also analyze the industrial correlation and industrial spreading effects of the circulation industry. Comparing with the corresponding data，the authors reveal the evolution trend of industry correlation and industry spreading effects in circulation industry. From the perspective of industrial correlation，in terms of intermediate demand structure，the circulation industry demonstrates the trend of the weakening nature of intermediate goods and the strengthening nature of final consumption，and the first one is higher than the second one；and in terms of intermediate input structure，the evolution trends in different industries are different，the intermediate input rate in wholesale and retail industry is diminishing， and that of the transportation，warehousing and postal industry is increasing. From the perspective of industrial spreading，the pulling and promoting roles of the wholesale and retail industry both show the trend of first increasing and then weakening，which demonstrates the“inverted U- shaped”relation；and the transportation，warehousing and postal industry have shown a trend of increasing pulling effect and weakening promotion effect. Because of the structural imbalance in the circulation industry，the government and enterprises should use new technologies to create new business types，explore more new demands，adapt to the trend of industry integration，adjust the industrial structure of the circulation industry，and release the development potential of the circulation industry.

Key words：circulation