Structural Analysis of China's Agricultural Products Import
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责任编辑:陈诗静
(School of Economics and Management,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China)
Abstract:China's agricultural product imports show a rapid growth trend as a whole,but there are also obvious structural imbalances. Under the background of China-US trade friction and COVID-19,the discussion of the trade structure of agricultural products is more important. The trade structure of China's import growth of agricultural products is broken down by adopting the three margins method. The results show that:the quantity margin is the most important factor for China's agricultural import increase,which indicates that China's excessive dependence on the import of existing agricultural products may increase China's trade risk,especially the greater dependence on major trading partners and members of FTA;the import price of agricultural products in China was higher than the world average level,imports of high-quality and high-priced products have increased,but pricing power of imported products needs to be improved;the variety of agricultural products in China was relatively abundant, import substitutability of products could be gradually enhanced,but its role in promoting the growth of imports was less than quantity margin. Therefore,from the perspective of three margins,there is a certain imbalance in the trade structure of China's agricultural products import. China should further expand the import types of agricultural products to strengthen the stability of the source of agricultural products,improve the futures market of agricultural products to improve the pricing voice of agricultural products.
Key words:agricultural