Putin heads for talks on dispute

Hope is scant that both leaders can finally hammer out differences over the Kuril Islands

Russian President Vladimir Putin was scheduled to head to Japan on Thursday to meet Prime Minister Shinzo Abe in the latest bid to reach an elusive deal on a territorial dispute that has prevented their nations signing a formal treaty to end World War II.

Abe will host Putin at the hot springs in his ancestral city of Nagato in the hope of breaking the ice on an agreement over the Kuril Islands, seized by Soviet troops in 1945 and demanded back by Tokyo ever since.

But despite months of preparatory negotiations, hope is scant that the leaders can finally hammer out the differences over the four islands — known as the Southern Kurils in Russia and the Northern Territories in Japan — during Putin’s first visit in more than a decade.

“The absence of a peace treaty between Russia and Japan is an anachronism inherited from the past and this anachronism should be eliminated,” Putin said in an interview with Japan’s Nippon TV and Yomiuri newspaper published on the Kremlin’s website on Tuesday. “But how to do this is a difficult question.”

Putin added that Russia would strive to conclude the treaty because it wants the “full normalization” of its relations with Japan.

Putin’s two-day trip, includ- ing a forum in Tokyo, has been long in the pipeline and follows two visits by Abe to Russia this year — one to the Black Sea resort of Sochi and another in September to the fareastern city of Vladivostok.

Abe has looked to eke out concessions on the Kurils by dangling the prospect of major Japanese investment in front of Moscow, still mired in economic crisis.

“This new approach is very bold,” said James Brown, assistant professor in political science at Temple University, Japan. “He is determined to try to make a breakthrough.”

Message of strength

But few believe that Putin is likely to cave in to Japanese demands to hand back at least some control over the islands.

In the runup to the meeting, officials have been careful to roll back any expectation of a deal.

“It’s not simple to bring the two sides’ positions closer,” Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said after meeting his Japanese counterpart Fumio Kishida this month.

And while Tokyo might have been hoping that the mood could be changing, Russia pointedly fired off a timely message of strength ahead of Putin’s visit by bolstering its might on the Kurils.

Last month, Moscow reportedly deployed coastal defense missiles to two of the four islands, heightening Japanese anger already piqued by the construction of two modern military compounds.

The meeting between Putin and Abe is just the latest attempt to draw a line finally under World War II since Japan and the Soviet Union began talks in 1956.

Experts view recent rapprochement efforts as a positive development for Moscow’s trade ties with a stalwart US ally but doubt that either side will budge on the territorial issue.

Bilateral trade fell last year by 31 percent to $21.3 billion, in part due to Japan signing up to Western sanctions against Moscow over Ukraine.

PROPERTY SPECIAL It’s not simple to bring the two sides’ positions closer.” Sergei Lavrov, Russian foreign minister after meeting his Japanese counterpart Fumio Kishida this month.