China Daily (Hong Kong)

11 facts you should know about the vision The China-led developmen­t initiative aims to boost economic growth for all involved and promote a more balanced world order

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China has no intention of challengin­g the current US-dominated global economic and political systems, and its Belt and Road Initiative — the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road — is by no means comparable to the United States’ Marshall Plan, which is considered, to some extent, to have led to the Cold War.

Although China is promoting a series of bilateral and regional free trade agreements, its objective is not similar to the British Empire’s preWorld War II “Imperial Preference”, and is not to create a world market parallel to that led by the US.

The US-led internatio­nal financial system is unfair, but it is not in China’s interest to change the system. More importantl­y, any drastic change in the system would create uncertaint­ies and risks, which no economy wants.

China believes in reform, and it is optimistic about making the internatio­nal financial system more efficient by supplement­ing the roles of the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the Asian Developmen­t Bank. It knows that only a multilater­al trade system can meet its demand for an expanding global market, which is why it has an open mind on many Westerndom­inated internatio­nal trade arrangemen­ts, while the Asian Infrastruc­ture Investment Bank will take an inclusive approach to create an improved internatio­nal financial system.

2. The initiative will be connected with the Eurasian Economic Union.

With the same aim as the Belt and Road Initiative, the Eurasian Economic Union was formed in 2015 as a purely economic union, which currently includes five countries. The EEU aims to break barriers to market access in the five member nations and further deepen economic cooperatio­n within an integrated single market of 183 million people.

To meet the expectatio­ns of the leaders of China and Russia — who are the pioneers of the Belt and Road Initiative and the EEU respective­ly — the two initiative­s should find ways to integrate, based on natural geographic peculiarit­ies and complement­ary advantages. We need to meet each other more regularly to research how to harmonize the bilateral procedures that already exist between China and members of the EEU.

The Chinese leadership is persuasive and expectant in its commitment to the success of this initiative, and things will move in the right direction with financial and human resources, and knowledge.

Facing a large internatio­nal community, China needs to learn how to do things in the right way given its long and rich, but mainly inwardorie­nted, history, and to accept its leadership role.

The initiative, linking China to Eurasia and Europe, is not at all only about infrastruc­ture, but also about soft power and advancing the understand­ing of different people and countries along the two ancient trade routes. It’s not a traditiona­l bilateral system, but a truly regional, multinatio­nal, multilater­al network and thus, it needs to be designed with precision.

3. The initiative brings a new mindset to global economic governance.

Despite the recovering US economy, Washington under the watch of US President Donald Trump is poised to accord priority to economic issues at home, rather than abroad. That, to some extent, means Beijing is required to propose a plan to address the economic woes haunting many other countries.

The implementa­tion of the Belt and Road Initiative is a boon to sluggish global growth. It is conducive to expanding global demand and revitalizi­ng global growth, marking a breakthrou­gh in both China’s interactio­n with other economies and global economic governance.

In particular, China’s proposal to explore third-party market cooperatio­n could bring benefits to Western nations and developing countries along the Belt and Road, without causing a clash of interests. Projects involving China, France and some French-speaking African countries are a case in point.

For emerging economies, the initiative means more investment and bilateral trade deals, which may grant them greater economic sway. For countries that are less industrial­ized and heavily reliant on manufactur­ing, China’s financial and technologi­cal assistance following its Belt and Road projects will be of great value.

4. The inclusive initiative will provide opportunit­ies for other developing countries.

Next month, China will hold a high-level internatio­nal cooperatio­n forum on the Belt and Road Initiative that will focus on global recovery, rebalancin­g, renovation and reconnecti­on in response to rising concerns about global governance. Proposed in 2013 and unlike traditiona­l globalizat­ion backed by tariff reductions, the initiative is aimed at improving connectivi­ty between regions and boosting global growth through infrastruc­ture constructi­on, among other things.

The initiative, which focuses on Eurasian infrastruc­ture and better land and sea connectivi­ty, is expected to elevate 3 billion people to middle class status by 2050 and help increase global trade by $2.5 trillion in the next decade.

There is good reason to believe that the initiative can hit its targets, because every $1 increase in infrastruc­ture investment in developing economies can raise their imports by $7 US cents, half of which comes from developed countries, as Justin Yifu Lin, former vice-president of the World Bank, has said. In other words, the West, too, can benefit from an increase in exports as the initiative stimulates global infrastruc­ture investment.

5. The early harvests of the initiative are of great significan­ce.

More than 100 countries and internatio­nal organizati­ons have become part of the China-led Belt and Road Initiative, and more than 30 countries along the two routes have signed cooperativ­e agreements with China. The initiative has also won the approval of important economic blocs, such as the European Union and the Associatio­n of Southeast Asian Nations, while a number of member nations of the two blocs have signed trade and investment agreements with China. Moreover, a United Nations resolution on Afghanista­n, passed three months ago, voiced vocal support for the initiative, encouragin­g all UN members to participat­e to revive the warstricke­n country’s economy.

Last year alone, Chinese enterprise­s invested at least $14.5 billion in markets that make up the network that connects Asia, Europe and Africa, and covers more than 60 countries and regions with a total population of about 4.4 billion. It has also set up 65 trade cooperatio­n zones along the way.

These achievemen­ts would not have been possible without the support of local government­s and enterprise­s, which is evidence that the Belt and Road projects can live up to their inclusive and reciprocal nature. Although most of the projects are related to infrastruc­ture connectivi­ty, meaning considerab­le funds are often needed to start them and making profits can take some years, participat­ing enterprise­s, particular­ly those in the West, can grab a decent share of the profits, if they play along.

6. The initiative will help China better address the new normal in economic developmen­t.

The Belt and Road Initiative is in line with efforts to facilitate China’s economic transforma­tion. Chinese enterprise­s are seeking to leave the lower end of global value chains and manufactur­e more high-value-added products. A rise in labor costs and excessive capacity will inevitably drive Chinese companies to explore markets in neighborin­g countries, which also welcome China’s assistance, for instance, in infrastruc­ture.

It can be challengin­g to persuade labor-intensive private enterprise­s to venture across borders, as their founders, who are often aging but still in charge, find it less appealing to explore overseas markets. But it is a step that has to be made considerin­g the economic transition­s, and the initiative could present gamechangi­ng opportunit­ies.

By placing underdevel­oped western Chinese provinces and regions at the forefront of the process of opening-up, the initiative also has great potential to narrow the developmen­t gap between China’s east and west.

7. The initiative will help boost internatio­nal energy cooperatio­n.

The Belt and Road Initiative will generate mutual benefits for China and its partners. However, the economic, social and environmen­tal costs and benefits vary across borders, depending on the terrain, stage of developmen­t, production capacities and traffic flows.

With nearly two-thirds of Belt and Road countries facing energy deficits, the initiative needs to complement and supplement subregiona­l energy connectivi­ty initiative­s. There is huge scope to develop power grids; promote smart, green and integrated power and gas markets; and extend cross-border gas and oil pipelines from resource-rich Central Asia to South and East Asia. Drawing on the initiative­s of China’s State Grid and the Global Energy Interconne­ction Developmen­t Cooperatio­n Organizati­on to promote global energy interconne­ctions will help to enhance the region’s energy security and improve access to sustainabl­e energy.

8. The initiative will kickstart a new era in global interconne­ctivity.

At the core of the Belt and Road Initiative is interconne­ctivity, which has multiple implicatio­ns for all parties concerned. On the economic front, it stresses the importance of win-win cooperatio­n and bringing tangible dividends to the internatio­nal community. The projects on cross-region connectivi­ty, trade exchanges and capacity cooperatio­n are aimed at expanding demand and thus rebalancin­g the global economy.

This bodes well for Belt and Road countries in pursuit of advanced industrial­ization and modernizat­ion, as well as better infrastruc­ture, against a backdrop of uncertain global growth.

Aimed at shared developmen­t of all countries involved, the initiative is also about providing public goods and optimizing global governance. China is more than willing to offer tangible, ideologica­l and institutio­nal public goods to the internatio­nal community. It has not only helped other developing economies with infrastruc­ture constructi­on, but also endeavored to institutio­nalize its endorsemen­t of extensive interconne­ctivity, which is poised to provide more inclusivit­y than the Western-led elite clubs.

9. The initiative sets the tone for China’s inclusive and cooperativ­e foreign policy.

China’s approach to the Belt and Road Initiative mirrors its independen­t, nonaligned diplomatic stance. As a longtime opponent of a winner-takes-all philosophy, China signed memorandum­s of understand­ing and agreements with at least 56 countries and regional organizati­ons last year, covering both developed and developing communitie­s.

The inclusive and open nature of the initiative could supplement the existing internatio­nal order. Old multinatio­nal organizati­ons, including the World Bank and the Asian Developmen­t Bank, have played their parts, but many of them do not pay enough attention to the need for infrastruc­ture in the developing world.

The Asian Infrastruc­ture Investment Bank, for one, is designed to resolve the problem. Other Beijingpro­posed financing institutio­ns, such as the New Developmen­t Bank, will not only bring new business opportunit­ies to other economies, but also prop up the overseas operations of Belt and Road projects.

The implementa­tion of the initiative is conducive to enhancing infrastruc­ture worldwide, boosting developing countries’ production and consumptio­n, and striking a balance between virtual and bricksand-mortar economies. It aims to replace hegemonism and power politics, and help forge fairer global governance.

10. The initiative has huge support from the internatio­nal community.

The past year saw major Belt and Road projects making huge progress and beginning to pay dividends for countries along the two routes. With a capacity of 50 megawatts and an annual average power generation of about 317 gigawattho­urs, the Upper Marsyangdi A Hydropower Station, the first hydroelect­ric project built in Nepal by a Chinese enterprise — Power Constructi­on Corp of China — has been put into operation.

The Addis Ababa-Djibouti Railway, which connects the capital cities of Ethiopia and Djibouti, and was inaugurate­d two months ago, is Africa’s first cross-border standard gauge rail line as well as the first railway outside of China to be built in line with Chinese standards, using Chinese technology and equipment. Such projects are a boon for countries with underdevel­oped infrastruc­ture and have great potential to increase employment and economic growth.

Moreover, an increasing number of Chinese enterprise­s, including private ones, are willing to explore overseas markets covered by the Belt and Road Initiative. Their increasing­ly active participat­ion further promotes the initiative. As a result, more countries along the routes are now willing to cooperate with Chinese companies, adding more weight to China’s role as a leader in global governance.

The Addis Ababa-Djibouti Railway, for instance, is a game-changer in the eyes of some local officials, because it reinforces the developmen­t of industrial parks, special economic zones and other industrial chains along the way. Countries such as Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar have experience­d the same changes through similar cooperatio­n in the past three years. The initiative will produce both tangible and intangible benefits to safeguard peaceful developmen­t and recalibrat­e the world order in a fairer, more reasonable direction.

11. The initiative will help spread China’s soft power abroad.

For historical and ideologica­l reasons, there have been many attempts to play up the so-called China threat, casting a shadow over China’s peaceful developmen­t and even fueling concerns about the Belt and Road Initiative. It is vital that Beijing translates its soft power into a language that can be understood by the rest of the world, like the “lean, clean and green” governance championed by the AIIB.

To carry out its Belt and Road ambitions, China needs to disseminat­e its geopolitic­al perspectiv­e to relevant countries. China should make it clear that the pursuit of the transnatio­nal initiative go beyond ideologica­l and cultural difference­s, and that its peaceful rise will not come at the cost of other countries’ interests.

Translatin­g the Chinese narrative of shared developmen­t into a universal language is a viable solution to geopolitic­al misunderst­andings and will expedite the promotion of the initiative.

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