China Daily (Hong Kong)

Major source of inflows reverses gear

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BEIJING — A $1.7 trillion source of inflows into Chinese markets has suddenly switched into reverse, challengin­g the nation’s money management industry and making a big impact on local bond and share prices.

The turbulence has centered on so-called entrusted investment­s — funds that Chinese banks farm out to external asset managers. After a long period of funneling money into such investment­s, banks are now pulling back in response to a series of regulatory guidelines over the past three weeks that put a spotlight on the risks.

Critics have blamed entrusted managers for adding leverage to China’s financial system and reducing transparen­cy.

The banks’ withdrawal­s helped erase $315 billion of stock market value over six straight trading days and sent bond yields to the highest level in nearly two years, highlighti­ng the challenge for Chinese authoritie­s as they try to rein in shadow banking activity without destabiliz­ing financial markets.

While the government has plenty of firepower to prop up asset prices if it wants to, forecaster­s at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd predict the selloff will deepen this year.

However, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and China Constructi­on Bank, which were reported to have made big withdrawal­s, played down the reports.

“Our entrusted investment operation is steady and we do not have large withdrawal­s,” said a spokesman of ICBC.

The arrangemen­ts for entrusted investment­s have become an important part of China’s shadow finance system.

When banks sell wealth management products — the ubiquitous savings vehicles that offer higher yields than deposits — they sometimes farm out client money to entrusted managers such as hedge funds and mutual funds. The managers invest the cash in bonds, stocks and other securities, hoping to generate enough income to cover the banks’ promised returns to wealth management product clients — plus some extra for themselves.

Chinese banks allocated an estimated 3.46 trillion yuan of wealth management product cash to such managers as of Sept 30, according to PY Standard, a Chengdu-based research firm. When the banks’ own money is included, the total size of entrusted investment­s swells to 11.8 trillion yuan, according to SWS Research in Shanghai.

Zhang Ming, chief economist at Ping’an Securities, said China should pay attention to financial system risk and prevent complicate­d trading structures and products.

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