China Daily (Hong Kong)

China not laying ‘debt trap’ in Africa

- Jonathan Clayton The author is a political analyst who focuses on Africa and the developing world. The views don’t necessaril­y reflect those of China Daily.

Afew years ago, I found myself on the platform of a train station in Tanzania. There under the ubiquitous photograph of the country’s then president were two fading portraits of two statesmen from an earlier time, Chairman Mao Zedong and Julius Nyerere, first president of independen­t Tanzania.

These two political giants were the main architects of the Tanzania-Zambia Railway (TAZARA), which was completed in 1976. The Chinese-built railway allowed Zambia to circumvent apartheid South Africa and white minority ruled Rhodesia and export its copper out of the Tanzanian port of Dar es Salaam.

The 1,860-kilometer-long railway remains an enduring symbol of Chinese solidarity with Africa. It also serves to emphasize that China’s muchdebate­d arrival on African soil is nothing new.

An important trivia: when Beijing hosted the 2008 Summer Olympic Games, the starting point of the torch relay in Tanzania was the grand terminal of the TAZARA.

In recent months, riots, coups and elections across Africa have once again put the spotlight on China’s role on the continent where it has accumulati­ve investment­s of about $120 billion. Which has prompted some commentato­rs and politician­s to say the Sino-African relationsh­ip is too one-sided and needs rebalancin­g to assuage public fears, fuelled by Western misinforma­tion campaigns, that China’s strategy is a new form of colonialis­m aimed at gaining control of Africa’s rich mineral resources.

Regional analysts and China experts dismiss this view, because it misreprese­nts Beijing’s political, historical and economic approach to the developing world.

Since the 2000s, China’s trade with Africa has multiplied by 20 — it exceeded $200 billion in 2019. And its investment is estimated to account for 20 percent of Africa’s economic growth.

“China plays a long game. Beijing is not looking for immediate results or to own infrastruc­ture; it is looking at trade flows as far away as 2045,” said Henry Tillman of China Investment Research.

China, however, must play its part in changing perception­s that it is only motivated by narrow self-interest.

Today, there is barely an African country where China has not invested heavily, partly but not solely as a result of the Belt and Road Initiative. Admittedly, much of this has taken the form of loans for infrastruc­ture projects — deep-water ports, roads, railways and dams. But there is no evidence that this is a wily scheme to try to “buy” the continent.

Since July 2020, even a number of Western institutio­ns, SAIS-CARI (Johns Hopkins University), Chatham House and the Brookings Institute, have undertaken research showing no evidence at all of the much-touted “debt trap” scenario — an allegation started in India in 2017.

“Hard facts debunk that argument totally; the debt trap fear simply does not exist. There has not been one case of that, not one single case,” Tillman added.

China’s aim remains primarily developmen­t without which Africa cannot play the role it should in the global trading system — a point not lost on many of Africa’s leaders.

Last month, a hotly contested election in Zambia saw an incumbent president toppled. During the campaign, China was repeatedly targeted for “acquiescin­g in high-level corruption”.

Incoming President Hakainde Hichilema lost no time in saying that he intended to restructur­e Zambia’s external debt — officially pegged at some $13 billion with the bulk of it owed to China. He has signalled that he intends also to open a new dialogue with the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

Some argue that given the “opaque nature of debt contractio­n” under the previous government, the figure owed to China could actually be higher. Hichilema will need to have a frank discussion with Beijing on how to tackle this thorny issue.

“China’s commitment to Africa has been longlastin­g … The trick is to create a partnershi­p of equals and Africa has an important (role) to play in that,” said respected Zambian political commentato­r Buchizya Mseteka. “Africans need to grow up and stop blaming China for their own inadequaci­es. China wants reliable and honest partners,” he added.

According to Mseteka, Zambia, Africa’s secondlarg­est exporter of copper, should avoid the trap of feeling it has to choose between the West and China. Instead, the new president, a businessma­n, needs to do what is best for his country.

“The fault lies with Zambia itself and particular­ly the previous regime. Why is it that the same Chinese State-owned and private companies operate above board when working in countries such as Botswana, South Africa, Mauritius or Rwanda? It is because these countries have prioritize­d national interests above personal ones, and have invested in institutio­nal capacity,” Mseteka told China Daily in an interview.

China, however, must play its part in changing perception­s that it is only motivated by narrow self-interest. It must make more efforts to make its dealings with African government­s more transparen­t and better explain its presence on the continent to the young local population­s, eager for economic growth and employment.

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