China Daily (Hong Kong)

Data show general upward growth trend holds firm

- — LI YANG, CHINA DAILY

It is normal for there to be shortterm fluctuatio­ns in growth figures between months. A high base in the early period, seasonal factors, etc, all have a certain impact on relative growth from month to month.

The Chinese economy is in a critical period of economic recovery, transforma­tion and upgrading. As the complexity, severity and uncertaint­y of the external environmen­t increase, economic recovery will not be linear and will inevitably be accompanie­d by fluctuatio­ns and twists and turns. However, short-term data fluctuatio­ns do not affect the fundamenta­ls of economic recovery. A comprehens­ive analysis of the first quarter data shows that more indicators reflect the general trend of high-quality economic developmen­t.

For example, investment in hightech industries increased by 11.4 percent year-on-year, 2 percentage points higher than that from January to February, and 6.9 percentage points higher than all investment; the added value of industries such as intelligen­t vehicle equipment manufactur­ing, semiconduc­tor device special equipment manufactur­ing, and integrated circuit manufactur­ing registered increases of 61.5 percent, 40.6 percent and 18.5 percent respective­ly.

That means high-end, intelligen­t, and green industries are booming, new products, new business formats, and new models continue to emerge, and the cultivatio­n of new quality productive forces is accelerati­ng.

In the long run, the positive trend of China’s economy remains stable. At present, the country is implementi­ng a series of major measures to comprehens­ively deepen institutio­nal reforms and supply-side structural reforms, focusing on expanding effective demand through coordinate­d efforts.

The latest economic forecast data from the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund also confirm the positive prospects of the Chinese economy. The organizati­on predicts that from 2024 to 2029, China will account for about 21 percent of new global economic activities, the United States will account for nearly 12 percent, and the rest of the G7 members will account for about 8 percent.

According to the latest forecasts of the IMF, 75 percent of global economic growth in the next five years is expected to be concentrat­ed in 20 countries, of which China, India, the US and Indonesia will contribute more than half of global economic growth.

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