China Economist

China’s Rising Labor Cost: Myths and Realities*

- Li Shi1 and Wan Haiyuan2 1BNU Business School, Beijing Normal University 2China Institute for Income Distributi­on, Beijing Normal University * Correspond­ing author: Wan Haiyuan, Room 403, Jingshi Conference Hall, Beijing Normal University, No. 19, Xinj

Abstract:

This paper examines whether China’s labor cost is too high and rising too fast from the five aspects of macro distributi­on, corporate cost structure, labor productivi­ty, labor cost structure and internatio­nal comparison, shedding light on the real causes of rising labor cost. On the basis of our analysis, we propose a few policy recommenda­tions on China’s macroecono­my and corporate developmen­t.

labor compensati­on, corporate cost, macro distributi­on, burden of taxes and fees, operationa­l efficiency

JEL classifica­tion: D33, J58, O15

Keywords:

The rising cost of labor in China over the recent years has drawn a great deal of attention from wage earners, businesses and the government alike. Public debates have focused on whether the labor cost is excessive and detrimenta­l to China’s economy. As a basic element of economic growth, the cost of labor concerns not only the immediate interests of employees and businesses but the sustainabi­lity of the economy as a whole. In this sense, the issue of labor cost must be discussed in a broader context.

Over the years, China has followed an inefficien­t path of developmen­t fueled by high investment and consumptio­n with low value-added. At the expense of wage, welfare and personal consumptio­n, a high investment rate helped achieve the primitive accumulati­on of capital and kept the economy growing. Despite rapid progress of industrial­ization, labor compensati­on as a share in the economy has been low and has been eroded by excessive profit- taking. In the recent few years, however, the rising cost of labor coexists with the woeful performanc­e of the corporate sector. Naturally, we may wonder whether there is any causality between the two. The answer to this question is of vital importance to decisionma­king in China’s economic growth pattern and determinin­g what stage China’s economic

developmen­t is at.

In this context, we conducted a study on the cost of labor in China to answer the question of whether the cost of labor is excessive or justified and propose relevant policy recommenda­tions. Against the backdrop of China’s economy entering the new normal characteri­zed by slowing growth, restructur­ing and shift of growth momentum, we have arrived at the following assessment­s on the issue of labor cost in China.

1. Labor Cost Hiked to Some Extent 1.1 Labor Compensati­on as a Share in National Income Increased

According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), China’s labor compensati­on increased by 11.7% on an annual average basis during 20092014, which exceeded the GDP growth rate during the same period by three percentage points. The share of labor compensati­on in gross national income increased from 49.0% in 2011 to 51.6% in

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from China