Global Times - Weekend

Economy heads for annual expansion

Commodity sales rise for the first time this year

- By Zhang Dan and Zhang Hongpei

A slew of July economic data showed a steady recovery for the world’s second largest economy, which points to an annual expansion despite a global economic recession amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

Thanks to the growth of industrial enterprise­s above designated size and improving consumer demand in July, China’s economy has witnessed a steady recovery, according to Fu Linghui, spokespers­on of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

Even if China’s retail sales in July contracted by 1.1 percent year-onyear, it is the first time for commodity retail to grow within the year.

Commodity sales in July rose 0.2 percent to 3.22 trillion yuan ($460 billion) from the same period last year, which showed that consumptio­n is on course to continue its recovery from the pandemic.

The reopening service industry drove up consumptio­n in catering and the accommodat­ions sectors, said NBS statistici­an Zhang Min, adding that the restaurant industry has recovered almost 90 percent of the level prior to the pandemic. While revenue in July was down 11 percent from the same time last year, it closed the gap by 4.2 percentage points.

Chinese consumptio­n was inhibited by the second wave of coronaviru­s cases in certain cities, as well as floods in South China in July, Cong Yi, a professor at the Tianjin University of Finance and Economics, told the Global Times.

“It is likely that in the second half, consumptio­n will only slightly recover, given the uncertaint­ies around the pandemic, rather than a V-shaped rebound,” Cong noted.

July manufactur­ing activities continue to recover, with the large industrial enterprise­s’ addedvalue growing for four consecutiv­e months.

Last month’s manufactur­ing activity bounced back to an expansion, as reflected by the purchasing managers’ index reading of 51.1, and the industrial added-value rose 4.8 percent, NBS said.

For instance, as an indicator of the country’s manufactur­ing activities, excavator sales in China last month surged by 54.8 percent to 19,100 units, China Constructi­on Machinery Associatio­n data showed.

Fixed-asset investment in infrastruc­ture, high-tech and people’s livelihood industries grew.

July’s fixed-asset investment saw a 4.85 percent growth from June, partly fueled by the country’s new infrastruc­ture boom, said Cong. He said that looking into the second half, the contributi­ons of investment to the economy will be more evident.

Analysts said China’s economy continued to recover in July, following the trend of the second quarter, while also signaling a stronger growth momentum in the second half.

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