Global Times

Rajan’s critical reforms can thrive with India’s new Reserve Bank of India boss

- Page Editor: wangwei03 @ globaltime­s. com. cn The author is Una Galani, a Reuters Breakingvi­ews columnist. The article was first published on Reuters Breakingvi­ews. bizopinion@ globaltime­s. com. cn

India’s central bank is in good hands. Raghuram Rajan earned rock- star status as the governor of the Reserve Bank of India ( RBI). His successor, Deputy Governor Urjit Patel, is relatively unknown but is well- placed to take over as a key architect of some of the critical reforms that are already underway.

Patel has had a ringside seat to policymaki­ng over the last three years. The low- profile 53- year- old understand­s business as well as he does politics after stints at Reliance Industries, the IMF and acting as an adviser to the government. Like Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he hails from the relatively prosperous Western state of Gujarat.

Unlike Rajan, who took over mid- crisis, the incoming governor will inherit an economy in decent shape, with GDP growing at 7.9 percent, a stable currency and record foreign exchange reserves. But Patel, who takes the reins on September 4, faces three immediate challenges.

The first will be to control inflation in the country as oil pric- es continue to surge. Annual consumer price increases have just topped 6 percent, breaching the government’s target. If Patel cannot slow down these price rises, it will cast a pall on the formal inflation- targeting role that he helped convince the government to enshrine for the bank.

The second will be to ratchet up the fight against bad debt at State- controlled banks, which account for two- thirds of all total loans. During his tenure, Rajan picked the low- hanging fruit by forcing lenders to ac- knowledge the problem. The logical conclusion requires Patel to convince New Delhi to stump up lots of new capital, ideally as soon as possible, or agree to privatizat­ions. Neither option is politicall­y palatable.

The third challenge will be to oversee a new monetary policy committee. Currently, the governor alone sets interest rates but a new six- member panel will take over before October. Patel must make a success of it even though a committee he led had advocated that RBI insiders should hold a majority of the positions. The final result gives New Delhi the power to appoint half of the panel.

If Patel can see through these landmark reforms, he can earn something close to celebrity status like his predecesso­r.

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