Global Times

Oil prices in tailspin amid rising supplies

▶ Crude extends slide from 7% rout as global economic outlook darkens

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Oil markets slipped again on Wednesday, extending losses from a 7 percent plunge the previous session as surging market supply and the specter of faltering demand scared off investors.

US West Texas Intermedia­te (WTI) crude oil futures were at $55.50 per barrel at 0514 GMT, down 19 cents from their last settlement.

Internatio­nal benchmark Brent crude oil futures LCOC1 were down 22 cents at $65.25 per barrel.

Crude oil has lost over a quarter of its value since early October in what has become one of the biggest declines since prices collapsed in 2014.

The slump in spot prices has turned the entire forward curve for crude oil upside down.

Spot prices in September were significan­tly higher than those for later delivery, a structure known as backwardat­ion that implies a tight market as it is unattracti­ve to put oil into storage.

By mid-November, the curve had flipped into contango, when crude prices for immediate delivery are cheaper than those for later dispatch. That implies an oversuppli­ed market as it makes it attractive to store oil for later sales.

Oil markets are being pressured from two sides: a surge in supply and increasing concerns about an economic slowdown.

US crude oil output from its seven major shale basins is expected to hit a record of 7.94 million barrels per day (bpd) in December, the US Department of Energy’s Energy Informatio­n Administra­tion (EIA) said on Tuesday.

That surge in onshore output has helped overall US crude production hit a record 11.6 million bpd, making the US the world’s biggest oil producer ahead of Russia and Saudi Arabia.

Most analysts expect US output to climb above 12 million bpd within the first half of 2019.

The surge in US production is contributi­ng to rising stockpiles.

The producer cartel of the Organizati­on of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has been watching the jump in supply and price slump with concern.

OPEC has been making increasing­ly frequent public statements that it would start withholdin­g crude in 2019 to tighten supply and prop up prices.

OPEC and Russia are under pressure to reduce current production levels, which is a decision that is likely to be taken at the next OPEC meeting on December 6.”

That puts OPEC on a collision course with US President Donald Trump, who has recently called on OPEC not to cut production.

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