US needs 5-8 more months to rid coronavirus: researcher

As the US, which has reported the highest number of coronavirus infections for months, saw the number of COVID-19 deaths surpass 100,000 on Thursday, a Chinese data scientist predicted that the country may need another five to eight months to be free of new cases, as it is relaxing social distancing policies and interstate travel bans.

Chinese experts said the startling death toll reflected the US governance missteps, which have also worsened the crisis. The officials focused largely on pursuing short-term economic and political interests, while playing up human rights despite its disrespect for life.

Chinese experts who expertise in China-US relations noted that the US is a “loser” in the fight against the pandemic despite receiving an early warning and having advanced medical resources and technology.

Liang Manchun, an associate research fellow at the Institute for Public Safety Research of Tsinghua University, told the Global Times on Thursday that new cases in the US would drop gradually, and the country could be free of new cases in late September provided that strict antipandemic measures are adopted. But Liang warned that prediction may be inaccurate due to the complex and changing realities.

Liang also noted that the US is more likely to curb the contagion after five to eight months because it had prematurely lifted restrictions.

The resumption of work and production, increasing interstate population flows, governments’ strength in imposing restrictions, and people’s adherence to the home quarantine measures could affect the process, Liang said.

Despite the spreading virus, US President Donald Trump continues to pressure states to lift lockdown orders and return to work. Many states are on track to restart their economies and relax restrictions. Bars and barber shops reopened, and people flocked to beaches, US media reported.

From the first reported fatality from COVID-19 on February 6, it took the US 110 days to hit the grim milestone of 100,000 deaths, almost double the number of casualties of the Vietnam War (1964-75, 58,000). The fatalities of COVID-19 ranked third among all the deadly incidents in US history, following World War II (1941-45, 291,000) and the Civil War (1861-65,498,000).

More than 1,699,000 people have been affected in the country since the first COVID-19 case was reported in the US on January 21.

The US now tops the world with the most confirmed cases and deaths, accounting for 30 percent and 28.5 percent, respectively, of the world’s totals.