South China Morning Post

Tesla plans still on track despite Musk not meeting Modi

- Biman Mukherji biman.mukherji@scmp.com

Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s decision to postpone his meeting with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi this week has sparked a debate over New Delhi’s ability to lure investors, even though his electric vehicle maker is expected to follow through with its plans to set up a manufactur­ing base in the country.

Industry insiders and analysts cite the ongoing elections in India as the main reason for the billionair­e to reschedule his visit, with Delhi preoccupie­d with campaignin­g and hindered from announcing any economic policies.

Musk was expected to unveil plans for a manufactur­ing plant in India after Delhi announced last month lower import taxes on certain electric vehicles for companies that commit to at least US$500 million of investment in manufactur­ing facilities within three years.

But just before Musk’s visit, he backed out. “Unfortunat­ely, very heavy Tesla obligation­s require that the visit to India be delayed, but I do very much look forward to visiting later this year,” Musk said in a post on X on April 20.

Musk’s announceme­nt prompted opposition Congress Party leader Jairam Ramesh to comment on social media that “it was odd that @elonmusk was coming all the way to India to meet an outgoing Prime Minister. He too has now read the writing on the wall and decided to put off his visit.

“INDIA’s PM will welcome him soon, and the INDIA Government will promote electric vehicles even more aggressive­ly – I myself am a user of one!” he said. INDIA refers to a coalition of opposition parties challengin­g Modi’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP).

Musk’s decision has led BJP supporters to speculate if he knows how the election will turn out in contrast to several surveys that predict the BJP’s return to power. The results of the elections are due on June 4.

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman told a press conference: “When big companies show interest to come to India, we certainly make sure to make it attractive for them.

“Especially after China started being a concern for many industries, we have made policies in such a way that we are making India an attractive destinatio­n, both for manufactur­ing and services.”

Analysts agree Tesla would ultimately set up a base in India, the world’s third-largest automobile market.

As Tesla’s profitabil­ity has been declining after embarking on price cuts to capture a larger market share, it would need to tap the Indian market to increase its sales, said Puneet Gupta, director of mobility at S&P Global.

“They need a scale in India quickly so that they have a grip on the system. [Perhaps] they want to hire a local partner to minimise their risk,” Gupta said.

Tesla would need the support of such a partner to negotiate potential challenges while rolling out operations in Indian states, Gupta said. The company might be assessing whether the next Indian government plans to adjust related policies further, he added.

Musk had previously cited India’s high import taxes as a hurdle preventing Tesla from selling cars in India, analysts said. His view prompted Delhi to introduce lower taxes linked to electric vehicle manufactur­ing, they added.

While Tesla is expected to introduce a low-cost model in India at some point, it may rely on importing existing models after it enters the market, analysts said.

On Tuesday, Tesla said it planned to accelerate the launch of less expensive cars and start producing new models as soon as this year, ahead of its previous launch timeline in late 2025.

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