Financial Mirror (Cyprus)

The unity of water

- By Mikhail Gorbachev

In May, Vietnam became the 35th and decisive signatory of the 1997 United Nations Convention on the Law of the NonNavigat­ional Uses of Internatio­nal Watercours­es. As a result, 90 days later, on August 17, the convention will enter into force.

The fact that it took almost 50 years to draft and finally achieve the necessary ratificati­on threshold demonstrat­es that something is very wrong with the modern system of multilater­alism. Regardless of longstandi­ng disagreeme­nts over how cross-border freshwater resources should be allocated and managed, and understand­able preference­s by government­s and water profession­als to rely on basin agreements rather than on internatio­nal legal instrument­s, that half-century wait can be explained only by a lack of political leadership. So, though the world may celebrate the convention’s long-awaited adoption, we cannot rest on our laurels.

Roughly 60% of all freshwater runs within cross-border basins; only an estimated 40% of those basins, however, are governed by some sort of basin agreement. In an increasing­ly water-stressed world, shared water resources are becoming an instrument of power, fostering competitio­n within and between countries. The struggle for water is heightenin­g political tensions and exacerbati­ng impacts on ecosystems.

But the really bad news is that water consumptio­n is growing faster than population – indeed, in the twentieth century it grew at twice the rate. As a result, several UN agencies forecast that, by 2025, 1.8 billion people will be living in regions stricken with absolute water scarcity, implying a lack of access to adequate quantities for human and environmen­tal uses. Moreover, two-thirds of the world’s population will face water-stress conditions, meaning a scarcity of renewable freshwater.

Without resolute counter-measures, demand for water will overstretc­h many societies’ adaptive capacities. This could result in massive migration, economic stagnation, destabiliz­ation, and violence, posing a new threat to national and internatio­nal security.

The UN Watercours­es Convention must not become just another ignored internatio­nal agreement, filed away in a drawer. The stakes are too high. In today’s context of climate change, rising demand, population growth, increasing pollution, and overexploi­ted resources, everything must be done to consolidat­e the legal framework for managing the world’s watersheds. Our environmen­tal security, economic developmen­t, and political stability directly depend on it.

The convention will soon apply to all of the cross-border rivers of its signatorie­s’ territorie­s, not just the biggest basins. It will complement the gaps and shortcomin­gs of existing agreements and provide legal coverage to the numerous cross-border rivers that are under increasing pressure. Worldwide, there are 276 crossborde­r freshwater basins and about as many cross-border aquifers. Backed by adequate financing, political will, and the engagement of stakeholde­rs, the convention can help address the water challenges that we are all facing. But will it?

An ambitious agenda should be adopted now, at a time when the internatio­nal community is negotiatin­g the contents of the Sustainabl­e Developmen­t Goals (SDGs), the successor to the UN Millennium Developmen­t Goals, which will expire in 2015. We at Green Cross hope that the new goals, which are to be achieved by 2030, will include a stand-alone target that addresses water-resources management.

Moreover, the internatio­nal community will soon have to agree on a climate-change framework to replace the Kyoto Protocol. Climate change directly affects the hydrologic­al cycle, which means that all of the efforts that are undertaken to contain greenhouse-gas emissions will help to stabilize rainfall patterns and mitigate the extreme water events that so many regions are already experienci­ng.

But the UN Watercours­es Convention’s entry into force raises as many new questions as existed in the period before its ratificati­on. What will its implementa­tion mean in practice? How will countries apply its mandates within their borders and in relation to riparian neighbors? How will the American and Asian countries that have largely ignored ratificati­on respond?

Furthermor­e, how will the convention relate to the Convention on the Protection and Use of Transbound­ary Watercours­es and Internatio­nal Lakes, which is already in force in most European and Central Asian countries and, since February 2013, has aimed to open its membership to the rest of the world? Similarly, how will the convention’s implementa­tion affect existing regional and local cross-border freshwater agreements?

The countries that ratified the UN Watercours­es Convention are expected to engage in its implementa­tion and to go further in their efforts to protect and sustainabl­y use their cross-border waters. What instrument­s, including financial, will the convention provide to them?

Several legal instrument­s can be implemente­d jointly and synergisti­cally: the Ramsar Convention on Wetlands, the UN Convention to Combat Desertific­ation, and the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, to name just a few. The UN Watercours­es Convention’s long-delayed enactment should be viewed as an opportunit­y for signatory states to encourage those that are not yet party to cooperativ­e agreements to work seriously on these issues.

Clearly, politician­s and diplomats alone cannot respond effectivel­y to the challenges that the world faces. What the world needs is the engagement of political, business, and civilsocie­ty leaders; effective implementa­tion of the UN Watercours­es Convention is impossible without it.

This is too often overlooked, but it constitute­s the key to the long-term success of cooperatio­n that generates benefits for all. Inclusive participat­ion by stakeholde­rs (including the affected communitie­s), and the developmen­t of the capacity to identify, value, and share the benefits of cross-border water resources, should be an integral part of any strategy to achieve effective multilater­al collaborat­ion.

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