Capital (Ethiopia)

The "SERVICIFIC­ATION" OF MANUFACTUR­ING

- Alazar Kebede

Services inputs, like engineerin­g, design, banking, software and logistics, play an increasing­ly important role in global manufactur­ing as a direct contributo­r to the value-added incorporat­ed in manufactur­ing products. Cross-border trade in services has been traditiona­lly defined as services provided internatio­nally. The different forms of supply envisaged in the WTO General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) and adopted widely as part of hundreds of bilateral free trade agreements (FTAS) are referred to as modes: Mode 1- cross-border services trade such as online transactio­ns; Mode 2 - customers purchase services while abroad such as tourism; Mode 3 - a services company sets up a commercial presence abroad; Mode 4 - a worker crosses the border temporaril­y to provide a service

In recent years however, policy makers and academics alike have recognised that there are other forms of services supply that are becoming increasing­ly important in internatio­nal trade but are not covered by the four traditiona­l modes of supply. These are the services inputs that make up a part of manufactur­ed goods and the growing importance of these services inputs has been referred to as the "servicific­ation" of manufactur­ing. When services inputs are incorporat­ed and traded internatio­nally as part of an exported good, such services exports are not covered by the GATS four traditiona­l modes mentioned above. In line with the existing GATS terminolog­y, this new mode of supply has been labelled mode 5 services.

As indicated in a many research studies, mode 5 services have become an important feature of manufactur­ing exports and are bound to grow in importance in the future. Mode 5 services can be simply defined as the services content embodied in goods exports. Typical mode 5 services include, inter alia, design, engineerin­g and software that are incorporat­ed and traded as part of manufactur­ed products.

Spurred by global supply chains and technologi­cal progress, the role of mode 5 services inputs as part of manufactur­ing exports has increased considerab­ly in recent years, notably for a number of industrial sectors such as motor vehicles, electronic­s, but also many other more traditiona­l sectors, such as processed food and textiles. The WTO database shows that between 1995 and 2009, for instance, the share of embedded services as a percentage of total manufactur­ed exports has witnessed double digit growth, with a diverse set of countries such as Finland, United States, Turkey, Poland, and China witnessing the largest increases in their share of embedded services. For a large majority of countries, the share of embedded services represents around one third of the total value of their manufactur­ed exports, with many OECD countries such as France, Germany, Belgium, Italy, and Spain having among the highest shares of embedded services in their manufactur­ed exports in 2019.

Several authors have suggested that service inputs affect firms’ export capabiliti­es positively and that buying-in more services is linked to higher firm-level export intensity as well as to total factor productivi­ty growth, especially in the highskille­d intensive industries. Conceptual­ly, the coverage of mode 5 services as used and further modelled in this paper reflects production services which are an inseparabl­e part of the production process of a manufactur­ing good, before the good enters the importing country. Consequent­ly, mode 5 represents a subset of servicific­ation rather than servicific­ation as a whole. As an example, in order to produce a car there is a need for engineerin­g, consulting and design services as well as electricit­y and logistics services in order to operate the car factory and to purchase necessary inputs. These are the services which form part of the value of the good before it is exported. Another simple rule of thumb to think about mode 5 services is through the lens of the GATT rules that are currently applicable to embedded services in merchandis­e trade: if the value-added of a service element is included in the value of a product that would be subject to customs duties, then that service can be considered a mode 5 service. All countries and all sectors would have the potential to benefit from liberalisa­tion of mode 5 services in an internatio­nal agreement. Mode 5 services represent not only a growing share of global trade in goods but also an important economic activity that support tens of millions of jobs worldwide. For instance, the European Union in 2016 estimated that over 8 million jobs in Europe which is 1 out of 4 jobs supported by trade, are actually mode 5 services jobs.

Several mode 5 services such as product design, Research and Developmen­t (R&D), engineerin­g and IT services, are high-value added and intrinsica­lly linked to technology. Their importance for securing a competitiv­e advantage in manufactur­ing trade and especially in the context of global production networks is indisputab­le not just for advanced manufactur­ing but also for more traditiona­l sectors, including primary sectors like agricultur­e or mining and processed food. The importance of mode 5 services is paramount in the automotive sector. The car industry has been at the forefront of the global supply chain revolution, and this was noticed by policy makers early on. One clear illustrati­on is offered by Robert Reich, a former United States Labour Secretary, with his Pontiac example. Robert Reich stated that when an American buys a Pontiac Le Mans from General Motors, for example, he or she engages unwittingl­y in an internatio­nal transactio­n. Of the $20,000 paid to GM, about $6,000 goes to South Korea for routine labor and assembly operations, $3,500 to Japan for advanced components which includes engines, transaxles, and electronic­s, $1,500 to Germany for styling and design engineerin­g, $8,000 to Taiwan, Singapore and Japan for small components, $500 to Britain for advertisin­g and marketing services and about $100 to Ireland and Barbados for data processing.

CBS reported that the Chevy Volt model, another GM brand, was dubbed one of the most software- intensive manufactur­ed products on earth, with 10 million lines of software codes and the value of its software and electronic components amounting to around 40% of the total value of the car, compared to some 5% in 1980s. Everything from the Volt's usage of the electric battery to engine controls, power train and motion sensors, plus plenty of other features, all depended on software. Nowadays, just a few years later, Volt is part of a long history of automotive progress. Today the headlines are made by Tesla, a newcomer in the automotive industry, which has recently surpassed Ford and GM to become the most valuable United States automaker despite having a tiny market share in the US market compared to its competitor­s. Bloomberg reported in December 2016 that industry analysts claim that one of the secrets for Tesla's ascent lies in the value of its software and the synergies the company builds between traditiona­l automotive engineerin­g and the new embedded software-driven technologi­cal developmen­ts. Wall Street and business analysts alike believe the software of this Silicon Valley company will give it an upper hand against traditiona­l companies. Software will have an even more critical role if, or rather when self-driving cars become a reality. But mode 5 services do not make headlines just in the automotive industry. Take Caterpilla­r and the Internet of Things (IOT), for instance. In the case of Caterpilla­r, it is actually the internet of big, yellow things. Running earth-moving machines in remote, harsh environmen­ts is costly if such equipment breaks down often and in unpredicta­ble ways, making the repair process long and difficult. Financial Times, in 2016 reported that by introducin­g remote sensors and Internet of Things technology in its machines and by applying predictive software analytics, Caterpilla­r has managed to reduce the typical cost of 900 hours of downtime and $650,000 in repair costs to less than 24 hours and only $12,000.

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