Deutsche Welle (English edition)

As COVID-19 vaccines arrive, Europe looks back at swine flu side effects

- Matti Sällberg is a professor and biomedical analyst at Sweden's Karolinska Institute. His primary area of research is vaccines.

Just over a decade ago, Europeans mass immunized against a global pandemic — in that case the swine flu, or H1N1. A Swedish vaccine expert tells DW about some of the rare, but permanent, side effects that followed.

Vaccines have saved tens of millions of lives and eradicated a host of diseases that would otherwise continue to plague humanity. They can, however, have unintended side effects that, although statistica­lly infrequent, cause fear in population­s that would benefit from taking them. DW's Science unscripted podcast team spoke to Matti Sällberg, a vaccine expert at Sweden's Karolinska Institute, about whether the side effects of the swine flu vaccine are cause for any legitimate concerns regarding the coronaviru­s vaccines.

Listen to the full interview on Spotify or Apple Podcasts.

DW: We keep seeing vaccine skeptics referencin­g the swine u pandemic in 2009 as the reason they won't be taking a COVID-19 vaccine. Let's rewind — what happened?

Matti Sällberg: In March of 2009, we had an outbreak of a new flu virus. It stemmed, probably, from pigs in Mexico, and then it spread as a pandemic all over the world. The major difference to many other flu outbreaks was that young people tended

to become very sick. And alarm bells rang all over, it looked like the 1917 Spanish flu outbreak. A vaccine was therefore developed against swine flu and was administer­ed in 60 or 90 million doses globally. In Europe — and particular­ly in the Nordic countries, almost exclusivel­y — cases of narcolepsy appeared after these vaccinatio­ns. It was around 300 cases.

So these vaccines against the swine u were being administer­ed, people were getting shots, and then, suddenly, people started noticing that a startling number —

No, no. First of all, you have to realize that we're distributi­ng, globally, 60 to 90 million doses. We're talking 300 cases of narcolepsy. So this is an extremely rare event. An extremely rare event.

I understand that it was rare, but still, that 300 people get narcolepsy — this didn't come up in any of the trials? When did the cases emerge?

I don't remember exactly

when they emerged in relation to the vaccines.

So what happened next? Did the immunizati­ons stop? Did people stop getting the vaccines? Or was this considered a normal, or acceptable, side e ect of handing out these vaccines?

It's totally not a normal side effect. The confoundin­g factor is that the [swine flu] virus itself causes narcolepsy. And then it's very often hard to dissect whether this was caused by the viral infection or the vaccine. Still, the Swedish authoritie­s decided to compensate those who developed narcolepsy.

Why should people not be scared that something similar won't happen with a COVID-19 vaccine? Is there any reason that these new vaccines are di erent and shouldn't have that happen, as compared to the swine u vaccines?

Absolutely. First of all, the clinical trials now are much bigger. We've now vaccinated over 100,000 people already. There's yet to be a severe adverse event associated with these vaccinatio­ns. There is no evidence, as far as I know, that COVID-19 causes narcolepsy. That's certainly not one we're going to see — if we're going to see any severe side effects.

One of our listeners, Stefan, wrote in to us, "I'm not an antivaxxer. But my early inclinatio­n is NOT to take the COVID-19 vaccine, as I'm not convinced that enough research has been done on possible side e ects." He's talking about long-term side e ects.

Yeah, but — I understand that. But then the other option is that we stay in a lockdown. So the research that has been done — I really need to emphasize that — the safety studies that have been performed now with these vaccines are quite exceptiona­l. They're extremely large studies. So I would say that the probabilit­y of these vaccines causing common side effects that are actually worse than the COVID-19 pandemic, it's extremely rare. At least in the Northern Hemisphere, where we have an old population at risk of dying. We have a lot of people in the hospital right now. So, I mean, one has to put this in perspectiv­e.

Our listener Stefan's question, if I can come back to it, is — "Has this been rushed?" He's talking about long-term side e ects. Has it gone too fast?

No, I don't think it's gone too fast if you look at the clinical trials. The clinical trials started in March, they've been running until now, so they're going to run for a year. So no, in that respect, absolutely not, it hasn't been rushed.

I know that we can't compare apples to oranges, and comparing an mRNA vaccine to the u vaccine that was taken back in 2009 is unscienti c and idiotic… But IF something were to happen, like the narcolepsy outbreak, because of the mRNA vaccines now, and you look back at it in 10 years — would you say that things were rushed this time around?

You have to define what you mean by "rushed." You have to look at the clinical trials that have been performed. It's over 100,000 people that have received these vaccines. So far, we haven't seen any unusual severe adverse events. One can never ever exclude that.

 ??  ?? Swine flu death estimates range from 150,000 to more than a half million
Swine flu death estimates range from 150,000 to more than a half million
 ??  ?? Vaccine expert Matti Sällberg
Vaccine expert Matti Sällberg

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